ASND

Ascendis Pharma A/S

There isn't enough reported data to score ASND yet.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

ASND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

ASND's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASND PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x32x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x32x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$267—
Cheap22x$313+17%
Fair27x$388+45%
Expensive29x$428+60%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASND has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ASND, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

ASND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $267.07 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASND and LLY's risk to reward.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASND and LLY's risk to reward.

ASND Earnings Per Share

Q2 2023: $-12.07Q3 2023: $-11.90Q4 2023: $-9.50Q1 2024: $-9.86Q2 2024: $-9.58Q3 2024: $-8.29Q4 2024: $-7.25Q1 2025: $-6.45Q2 2025: $-5.04Q3 2025: $-4.24Q4 2025: $-4.18Q3 2026: $14.54
Q2 2023: $-12.07Q3 2023: $-11.90Q4 2023: $-9.50Q1 2024: $-9.86Q2 2024: $-9.58Q3 2024: $-8.29Q4 2024: $-7.25Q1 2025: $-6.45Q2 2025: $-5.04Q3 2025: $-4.24Q4 2025: $-4.18Q3 2026: $14.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$14.54+$18.78
Q4 2025-$4.18+$3.07
Q3 2025-$4.24+$4.05
Q2 2025-$5.04+$4.54
Q1 2025-$6.45+$3.41
Q4 2024-$7.25+$2.25
Q3 2024-$8.29+$3.61
Q2 2024-$9.58+$2.49

ASND has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 125% for ASND versus LLY up 51%.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $30.81 over the past year, up 51% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

ASND Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2023: $53MQ3 2023: $53MQ4 2023: $153MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $193MQ1 2025: $112MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $237MQ4 2025: $275MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q2 2023: $53MQ3 2023: $53MQ4 2023: $153MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $193MQ1 2025: $112MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $237MQ4 2025: $275MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+347%
Q4 2025$274.9M+42%
Q3 2025$237.3M+269%
Q2 2025$175.6M+339%
Q1 2025$112.1M+5.3%
Q4 2024$193.2M+26%
Q3 2024$64.2M+20%
Q2 2024$40M-24%

ASND has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 847% for ASND versus up 39% for LLY.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASND Free Cash Flow

Q2 2023: −$171MQ3 2023: −$140MQ4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$113MQ2 2024: −$68MQ3 2024: −$63MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q3 2026: --
Q2 2023: −$171MQ3 2023: −$140MQ4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$113MQ2 2024: −$68MQ3 2024: −$63MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2024-$62.9M+$76.8M
Q2 2024-$68.5M+$102.1M
Q1 2024-$113.1M+$51.5M
Q4 2023-$47.1M+$114.5M
Q3 2023-$139.6M-$26.3M
Q2 2023-$170.6M-$28.3M
Q1 2023-$164.6M-$15M
Q4 2022-$161.6M-$19.3M

LLY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 259% versus its history, compared with ASND at up 36%.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

ASND Total Shares

Q2 2023: 56MQ3 2023: 56MQ4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ3 2026: 67M
Q2 2023: 56MQ3 2023: 56MQ4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ3 2026: 67M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+10%+6.2M shares
1 year+11%+6.8M shares
3 years+19%+10.7M shares
5 years+24%+13M shares
Available history+42%+19.6M shares

ASND has 67M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over ASND on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASND Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -1.5x
Q3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash

ASND has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ASND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic73.4Neutral

ASND's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ASND PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricASNDSector medianRelative
PE18x26x29% below
PE %42925 pts below

ASND has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ASND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$240.811% above
20 week MA$250.36.7% above
50 week MA$235.214% above
100 week MA$202.932% above
200 week MA$160.167% above

ASND is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

ASND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$135.1$170.9+27%
2021$170.9$139.3-18%
2022$139.3$119.1-15%
2023$119.1$126.0+5.8%
2024$126.0$137.5+9.2%
2025$137.5$209.0+52%
2026 YTD$209.0$267.1+28%

ASND has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 28% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over ASND on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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