ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

72
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ASML has a slight edge over SNOW overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

SNOW

Snowflake Inc.

71
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

SNOW offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ASML Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

SNOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

SNOW's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASML PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$1,375-8.2%
Current39x$1,497—
Fair43x$1,684+13%
Expensive56x$2,177+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASML's PE is 39x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SNOW PE Valuation

SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASML Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ASML, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SNOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNOW, with profitability improving.

ASML Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$1,989.81
Downside-22%$1,163.11

Calculated from the latest close: $1,497.12 on Nov 12.

ASML trails SNOW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$479.82
Downside-35%$194.51

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

SNOW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASML, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASML Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$38.88+44%
Q2 2026$30.61+15%
Q3 2025$26.91+38%
Q2 2025$26.68+40%
Q1 2025$24.60+22%
Q4 2024$21.42-2.9%
Q3 2024$19.46-8.4%
Q2 2024$19.11-7.5%

ASML has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 58% for ASML versus SNOW down 177%.

SNOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.55Q2 2024: $-2.80Q3 2024: $-3.06Q4 2024: $-3.39Q1 2025: $-3.86Q2 2025: $-4.20Q3 2025: $-4.14Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.95Q2 2026: $-3.52Q3 2026: $-3.18Forward: $2.74
Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.55Q2 2024: $-2.80Q3 2024: $-3.06Q4 2024: $-3.39Q1 2025: $-3.86Q2 2025: $-4.20Q3 2025: $-4.14Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.95Q2 2026: $-3.52Q3 2026: $-3.18Forward: $2.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.74—
Q3 2026-$3.18+$0.96
Q2 2026-$3.52+$0.68
Q1 2026-$3.95-$0.09
Q4 2025-$4.03-$0.64
Q3 2025-$4.14-$1.08
Q2 2025-$4.20-$1.40
Q1 2025-$3.86-$1.31
Q4 2024-$3.39-$0.71

SNOW is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $3.18 per share over the past year, against $4.20 at its worst in early 2025.

ASML Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13B+55%
Q2 2026$10.4B+21%
Q1 2026$9.7B+13%
Q4 2025$10.8B+4.9%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q2 2025$8.5B+23%
Q1 2025$8.6B+46%

ASML's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $13B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $734MQ1 2024: $775MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $869MQ4 2024: $942MQ1 2025: $987MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $734MQ1 2024: $775MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $869MQ4 2024: $942MQ1 2025: $987MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+35%
Q2 2026$1.4B+33%
Q1 2026$1.3B+30%
Q4 2025$1.2B+29%
Q3 2025$1.1B+32%
Q2 2025$1B+26%
Q1 2025$986.8M+27%
Q4 2024$942.1M+28%

SNOW has the edge over ASML on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASML Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.6B+4571%
Q2 2026$1.6B+292%
Q1 2026-$2.9B-$2.4B
Q4 2025$12.2B+24%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q2 2025$397.4M-10%
Q1 2025-$527.8M+$223M

ASML generated $23.5B in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.

SNOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $339MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $84M
Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $339MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $84M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$83.8M+44%
Q2 2026$232.8M+27%
Q1 2026$765.1M+82%
Q4 2025$113.6M+29%
Q3 2025$58.2M-10%
Q2 2025$183.4M-46%
Q1 2025$421.4M+27%
Q4 2024$88.3M-21%

SNOW has the edge over ASML on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASML Total Shares

Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-2.6%-10.3M shares
5 years-5.3%-21.5M shares
Available history-8.6%-36.2M shares

ASML has the edge over SNOW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 329MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 335MQ3 2024: 335MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 333MQ2 2025: 334MQ3 2025: 335MQ4 2025: 340MQ1 2026: 337MQ2 2026: 345MQ3 2026: 349M
Q4 2023: 329MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 335MQ3 2024: 335MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 333MQ2 2025: 334MQ3 2025: 335MQ4 2025: 340MQ1 2026: 337MQ2 2026: 345MQ3 2026: 349M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+3.9M shares
1 year+4.2%+14M shares
3 years+6.7%+21.9M shares
5 years+17%+51.5M shares
Available history+47%+111M shares

SNOW has 349M diluted shares, up 4.2% from a year ago.

ASML Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ASML has more cash than debt.

SNOW Net Leverage

SNOW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASML Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SNOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic25.2Neutral

SNOW's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

ASML PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASMLSector medianRelative
PE39x28x38% above
PE %30355 pts below

ASML is trading at 39x earnings, a 38% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

SNOW PE vs Technology Sector

SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASML Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,636.68.5% below
20 week MA$1,696.612% below
50 week MA$1,531.12.2% below
100 week MA$1,160.129% above
200 week MA$964.455% above

ASML has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 55% above its 200-week average.

SNOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$319.96.6% below
20 week MA$311.54.1% below
50 week MA$238.625% above
100 week MA$218.837% above
200 week MA$187.559% above

SNOW has the edge over ASML on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASML Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.7$483.1+63%
2021$483.1$801.4+66%
2022$801.4$551.4-31%
2023$551.4$756.9+37%
2024$756.9$713.6-5.7%
2025$713.6$1,072.8+50%
2026 YTD$1,072.8$1,497.1+40%

ASML has the edge over SNOW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SNOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$240.0$323.0+35%
2021$323.0$349.2+8.1%
2022$349.2$138.5-60%
2023$138.5$199.0+44%
2024$199.0$158.7-20%
2025$158.7$223.9+41%
2026 YTD$223.9$298.7+33%

SNOW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 33% so far in 2026.

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