ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

72
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ASML has the edge over QCOM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

QCOM

QUALCOMM Incorporated

50
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

QCOM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ASML Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

QCOM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

QCOM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ASML PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$1,375-8.2%
Current39x$1,497—
Fair43x$1,684+13%
Expensive56x$2,177+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASML has the edge over QCOM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

QCOM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$175-1.1%
Current14x$177—
Fair20x$248+40%
Expensive26x$333+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QCOM's PE is in its cheap range at 14x.

ASML Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ASML, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

QCOM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for QCOM to show an outlook.

ASML Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$1,989.81
Downside-22%$1,163.11

Calculated from the latest close: $1,497.12 on Nov 12.

ASML has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QCOM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

QCOM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$224.30
Downside-41%$103.77

Calculated from the latest close: $177.14 on Nov 12.

QCOM trails ASML on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ASML Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$38.88+44%
Q2 2026$30.61+15%
Q3 2025$26.91+38%
Q2 2025$26.68+40%
Q1 2025$24.60+22%
Q4 2024$21.42-2.9%
Q3 2024$19.46-8.4%
Q2 2024$19.11-7.5%

QCOM has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 58% for ASML versus QCOM up 153%.

QCOM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.90Q1 2024: $7.44Q2 2024: $7.72Q3 2024: $8.97Q4 2024: $9.34Q1 2025: $9.80Q2 2025: $10.35Q3 2025: $5.01Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $9.32Q2 2026: $8.76Q3 2026: $12.70
Q4 2023: $6.90Q1 2024: $7.44Q2 2024: $7.72Q3 2024: $8.97Q4 2024: $9.34Q1 2025: $9.80Q2 2025: $10.35Q3 2025: $5.01Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $9.32Q2 2026: $8.76Q3 2026: $12.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$12.70+153%
Q2 2026$8.76-15%
Q1 2026$9.32-4.9%
Q4 2025$4.96-47%
Q3 2025$5.01-44%
Q2 2025$10.35+34%
Q1 2025$9.80+32%
Q4 2024$9.34+35%

QCOM earned $12.70 per share over the past year, up 153% from the year before.

ASML Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13B+55%
Q2 2026$10.4B+21%
Q1 2026$9.7B+13%
Q4 2025$10.8B+4.9%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q2 2025$8.5B+23%
Q1 2025$8.6B+46%

ASML has the edge over QCOM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QCOM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.4BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $11.7BQ1 2025: $11BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $12.3BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $9.9BQ3 2026: $10.3B
Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.4BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $11.7BQ1 2025: $11BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $12.3BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $9.9BQ3 2026: $10.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.3B-8.4%
Q2 2026$9.9B-4%
Q1 2026$10.6B-3.5%
Q4 2025$12.3B+5%
Q3 2025$11.3B+10%
Q2 2025$10.4B+10%
Q1 2025$11B+17%
Q4 2024$11.7B+17%

QCOM's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $10.3B last quarter, down 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASML Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.6B+4571%
Q2 2026$1.6B+292%
Q1 2026-$2.9B-$2.4B
Q4 2025$12.2B+24%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q2 2025$397.4M-10%
Q1 2025-$527.8M+$223M

ASML has the edge over QCOM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QCOM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B-49%
Q2 2026$495M-81%
Q1 2026$1.9B-18%
Q4 2025$4.4B+2.5%
Q3 2025$3.6B+50%
Q2 2025$2.6B-3.2%
Q1 2025$2.3B-31%
Q4 2024$4.3B+58%

QCOM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $8.7B over the past year, down 33% from the year before.

ASML Total Shares

Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-2.6%-10.3M shares
5 years-5.3%-21.5M shares
Available history-8.6%-36.2M shares

ASML has 384M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago, with $8.7B in buybacks over the past year.

QCOM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+4M shares
1 year-2.9%-32M shares
3 years-4.7%-53M shares
5 years-6.6%-76M shares
Available history-7.4%-86M shares

QCOM has the edge over ASML on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASML Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ASML has the edge over QCOM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

QCOM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

QCOM's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

ASML Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

QCOM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic40.2Neutral

QCOM's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

ASML PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASMLSector medianRelative
PE39x28x38% above
PE %30355 pts below

ASML is trading at 39x earnings, a 38% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

QCOM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricQCOMSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %173518 pts below

QCOM has the edge over ASML on valuation relative to its sector.

ASML Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,636.68.5% below
20 week MA$1,696.612% below
50 week MA$1,531.12.2% below
100 week MA$1,160.129% above
200 week MA$964.455% above

ASML has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 55% above its 200-week average.

QCOM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$177.20% below
20 week MA$172.82.5% above
50 week MA$170.73.8% above
100 week MA$164.37.8% above
200 week MA$155.114% above

QCOM has the edge over ASML on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASML Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.7$483.1+63%
2021$483.1$801.4+66%
2022$801.4$551.4-31%
2023$551.4$756.9+37%
2024$756.9$713.6-5.7%
2025$713.6$1,072.8+50%
2026 YTD$1,072.8$1,497.1+40%

ASML has the edge over QCOM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QCOM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.8$148.8+68%
2021$148.8$182.7+23%
2022$182.7$110.8-39%
2023$110.8$144.6+30%
2024$144.6$157.2+8.7%
2025$157.2$174.8+11%
2026 YTD$174.8$177.1+1.3%

QCOM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 1.3% so far in 2026.

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