ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
ASML has the edge over ONDS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
ONDS
Ondas Holdings Inc.
ONDS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ASML Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.
ONDS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ONDS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASML PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 35x | $1,375 | -8.2% |
| Current | 39x | $1,497 | — |
| Fair | 43x | $1,684 | +13% |
| Expensive | 56x | $2,177 | +45% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ASML's PE is 39x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
ONDS PE Valuation
ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASML Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
ASML has the edge over ONDS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
ONDS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ONDS's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
ASML Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $38.88 | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $30.61 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.91 | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.68 | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $24.60 | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.42 | -2.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $19.46 | -8.4% |
| Q2 2024 | $19.11 | -7.5% |
ASML has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 58% for ASML versus ONDS down 122%.
ONDS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.09 | +$0.32 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.02 | +$0.51 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.09 | +$0.68 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.62 | -$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.41 | +$0.31 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.53 | +$0.18 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.59 | +$0.16 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.61 | +$0.27 |
ONDS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $1.79 at its worst in early 2023.
ASML Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13B | +55% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.4B | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.7B | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.8B | +4.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B | +0.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B | +0.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.5B | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.6B | +46% |
ASML's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $13B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +4.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 36% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | +5.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 35% | +9.1 points |
ASML has the edge over ONDS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ONDS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $167.5M | +1559% |
| Q2 2026 | $83.8M | +1235% |
| Q1 2026 | $50.1M | +1080% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.1M | +629% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.1M | +582% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3M | +555% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2M | +580% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1M | -17% |
ONDS has the edge over ASML on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -113% | +40 points |
| Q2 2026 | -195% | -47 points |
| Q1 2026 | -85% | +158 points |
| Q4 2025 | -77% | +129 points |
| Q3 2025 | -154% | +431 points |
| Q2 2025 | -147% | +720 points |
| Q1 2025 | -243% | +1218 points |
| Q4 2024 | -206% | +49 points |
ONDS's operating margin was −113% last quarter, up 40 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ASML Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.6B | +4571% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | +292% |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.9B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.2B | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $270.7M | -54% |
| Q3 2025 | $270.7M | -54% |
| Q2 2025 | $397.4M | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | -$527.8M | +$223M |
ASML has the edge over ONDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ONDS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$150.8M | -$139.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$93.8M | -$85.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$52.6M | -$45.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$14.3M | -$6.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.1M | -$2.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.5M | +$1.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.8M | +$1.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.1M | -$2.1M |
ONDS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$312M over the past year, against −$35M the year before.
ASML Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -1.4M shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -4.1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.6% | -10.3M shares |
| 5 years | -5.3% | -21.5M shares |
| Available history | -8.6% | -36.2M shares |
ASML has the edge over ONDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.5B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q3 2025 | $191.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $191.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.9B |
ASML spent $8.7B buying back its own shares over the past year.
ONDS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +23% | +114M shares |
| 1 year | +489% | +513M shares |
| 3 years | +1363% | +576M shares |
| 5 years | +2983% | +598M shares |
ONDS has 618M diluted shares, up 489% from a year ago.
ASML Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
ASML has more cash than debt.
ONDS Net Leverage
ONDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASML Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
ONDS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.5 | Oversold |
ONDS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
ASML PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ASML | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 28x | 38% above |
| PE % | 30 | 35 | 5 pts below |
ASML is trading at 39x earnings, a 38% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.
ONDS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ONDS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASML Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,636.6 | 8.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $1,696.6 | 12% below |
| 50 week MA | $1,531.1 | 2.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $1,160.1 | 29% above |
| 200 week MA | $964.4 | 55% above |
ASML has the edge over ONDS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ONDS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.35 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.23 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.92 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.08 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.57 | 49% above |
ONDS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 49% above its 200-week average.
ASML Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $296.7 | $483.1 | +63% |
| 2021 | $483.1 | $801.4 | +66% |
| 2022 | $801.4 | $551.4 | -31% |
| 2023 | $551.4 | $756.9 | +37% |
| 2024 | $756.9 | $713.6 | -5.7% |
| 2025 | $713.6 | $1,072.8 | +50% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,072.8 | $1,497.1 | +40% |
ASML has the edge over ONDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ONDS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $18.0 | $18.0 | 0% |
| 2020 | $18.0 | $7.65 | -57% |
| 2021 | $7.65 | $7.16 | -6.4% |
| 2022 | $7.16 | $1.69 | -76% |
| 2023 | $1.69 | $1.53 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $1.53 | $2.59 | +69% |
| 2025 | $2.59 | $8.48 | +227% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.48 | $5.32 | -37% |
ONDS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +227% in 2025 to −76% in 2022. It's down 37% so far in 2026.