ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

72
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ASML's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 30% and its operating margin rose 5 points to 39%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

OKLO

Oklo Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OKLO yet.

ASML Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

OKLO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

OKLO's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

ASML PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$1,375-8.2%
Current39x$1,497โ€”
Fair43x$1,684+13%
Expensive56x$2,177+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASML's PE is 39x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

OKLO PE Valuation

OKLO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASML Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ASML, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OKLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OKLO's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASML Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$1,989.81
Downside-22%$1,163.11

Calculated from the latest close: $1,497.12 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASML and OKLO's risk to reward.

OKLO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $24.45 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASML and OKLO's risk to reward.

ASML Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$38.88+44%
Q2 2026$30.61+15%
Q3 2025$26.91+38%
Q2 2025$26.68+40%
Q1 2025$24.60+22%
Q4 2024$21.42-2.9%
Q3 2024$19.46-8.4%
Q2 2024$19.11-7.5%

ASML has the edge over OKLO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

OKLO Earnings Per Share

Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.72Q1 2026: $-0.84Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.96
Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.72Q1 2026: $-0.84Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.96-$0.43
Q2 2026-$0.94-$0.53
Q1 2026-$0.84-$0.32

OKLO lost $0.96 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

ASML Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13B+55%
Q2 2026$10.4B+21%
Q1 2026$9.7B+13%
Q4 2025$10.8B+4.9%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q2 2025$8.5B+23%
Q1 2025$8.6B+46%

ASML's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $13B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

OKLO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M

OKLO and ASML do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

ASML Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: โˆ’$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
Q1 2024: โˆ’$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.6B+4571%
Q2 2026$1.6B+292%
Q1 2026-$2.9B-$2.4B
Q4 2025$12.2B+24%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q2 2025$397.4M-10%
Q1 2025-$527.8M+$223M

ASML has the edge over OKLO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OKLO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$8MQ4 2024: โˆ’$14MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: โˆ’$19MQ3 2025: โˆ’$23MQ4 2025: โˆ’$60MQ1 2026: โˆ’$51MQ2 2026: โˆ’$142MQ3 2026: โˆ’$199M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$8MQ4 2024: โˆ’$14MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: โˆ’$19MQ3 2025: โˆ’$23MQ4 2025: โˆ’$60MQ1 2026: โˆ’$51MQ2 2026: โˆ’$142MQ3 2026: โˆ’$199M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$199.5M-$176.4M
Q2 2026-$141.7M-$122.3M
Q1 2026-$50.7M-$38.1M
Q4 2025-$60.4M-$46.8M
Q3 2025-$23.1M-$15.1M

OKLO has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$452M over the past year, against โˆ’$69M the year before.

ASML Total Shares

Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-2.6%-10.3M shares
5 years-5.3%-21.5M shares
Available history-8.6%-36.2M shares

ASML has the edge over OKLO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OKLO Total Shares

Q2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 189M
Q2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7%+12.4M shares
1 year+25%+38.2M shares

OKLO has 189M diluted shares, up 25% from a year ago.

ASML Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ASML has more cash than debt.

OKLO Net Leverage

OKLO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASML Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

OKLO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.2Neutral
Stochastic13.1Oversold

OKLO's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

ASML PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASMLSector medianRelative
PE39x28x38% above
PE %30355 pts below

ASML is trading at 39x earnings, a 38% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

OKLO PE vs Utilities Sector

OKLO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASML Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,636.68.5% below
20 week MA$1,696.612% below
50 week MA$1,531.12.2% below
100 week MA$1,160.129% above
200 week MA$964.455% above

ASML has the edge over OKLO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OKLO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.517% below
20 week MA$37.435% below
50 week MA$56.657% below
100 week MA$59.459% below
200 week MA$35.231% below

OKLO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

ASML Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.7$483.1+63%
2021$483.1$801.4+66%
2022$801.4$551.4-31%
2023$551.4$756.9+37%
2024$756.9$713.6-5.7%
2025$713.6$1,072.8+50%
2026 YTD$1,072.8$1,497.1+40%

ASML has the edge over OKLO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OKLO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.1$9.79-2.6%
2022$9.79$9.88+0.9%
2023$9.88$10.6+6.9%
2024$10.6$22.8+116%
2025$22.8$76.9+238%
2026 YTD$76.9$24.5-68%

OKLO is down 68% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous five years.

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