ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
ASML's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 30% and its operating margin rose 5 points to 39%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.
NBIS
Nebius Group N.V.
There isn't enough reported data to score NBIS yet.
ASML Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.
NBIS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy |
NBIS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.
ASML PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 35x | $1,375 | -8.2% |
| Current | 39x | $1,497 | — |
| Fair | 43x | $1,684 | +13% |
| Expensive | 56x | $2,177 | +45% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ASML has the edge over NBIS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NBIS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 68x | $22.45 | -83% |
| Fair | 114x | $37.67 | -71% |
| Current | 390x | $129 | — |
| Expensive | 666x | $220 | +71% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NBIS's PE is 390x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
ASML Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
ASML has the edge over NBIS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
NBIS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NBIS's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASML Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $38.88 | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $30.61 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.91 | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.68 | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $24.60 | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.42 | -2.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $19.46 | -8.4% |
| Q2 2024 | $19.11 | -7.5% |
ASML has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
NBIS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $0.33 | +$2.61 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.28 | -456% |
| Q4 2023 | $0.64 | -36% |
| Q4 2022 | $1.00 | +$1.49 |
| Q4 2021 | -$0.49 | -156% |
| Q4 2020 | $0.87 | +89% |
| Q4 2019 | $0.46 | -73% |
| Q4 2018 | $1.71 | +434% |
NBIS has returned to profit: it earned $0.33 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
ASML Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13B | +55% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.4B | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.7B | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.8B | +4.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B | +0.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B | +0.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.5B | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.6B | +46% |
ASML has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +4.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 36% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | +5.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 35% | +9.1 points |
ASML's operating margin was 44% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
NBIS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | $9.7B | +53% |
| Q4 2022 | $6.3B | +46% |
| Q4 2021 | $4.3B | +63% |
| Q4 2020 | $2.6B | +24% |
| Q4 2019 | $2.1B | +37% |
| Q4 2018 | $1.5B | +36% |
| Q4 2017 | $1.1B | +24% |
| Q4 2016 | $917M | +27% |
NBIS's revenue is growing: $530M last quarter, down 80% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -115% | -112 points |
| Q4 2023 | 3.6% | -11 points |
| Q4 2022 | 2.5% | -14 points |
| Q4 2021 | -3.7% | -18 points |
| Q4 2020 | 7.4% | -9.5 points |
| Q4 2019 | 14% | -2 points |
| Q4 2018 | 16% | -14 points |
| Q4 2017 | 14% | -19 points |
NBIS's operating margin was −115% last quarter, down 123 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2011.
ASML Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.6B | +4571% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | +292% |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.9B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.2B | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $270.7M | -54% |
| Q3 2025 | $270.7M | -54% |
| Q2 2025 | $397.4M | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | -$527.8M | +$223M |
ASML generated $23.5B in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.
NBIS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -$3.7B | -$3.1B |
| Q4 2024 | -$562.1M | -$316.2M |
| Q4 2023 | -$245.9M | -$138.9M |
| Q4 2022 | -$107M | +$319.7M |
| Q4 2021 | -$426.7M | -539% |
| Q4 2020 | $97.3M | -66% |
| Q4 2019 | $287.9M | +$289.2M |
| Q4 2018 | -$1.3M | -101% |
NBIS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$4.6B over the past year, against −$43M the year before.
ASML Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -1.4M shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -4.1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.6% | -10.3M shares |
| 5 years | -5.3% | -21.5M shares |
| Available history | -8.6% | -36.2M shares |
ASML has 384M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago, with $8.7B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.5B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q3 2025 | $191.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $191.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.9B |
ASML spent $8.7B buying back its own shares over the past year.
NBIS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -12% | -33.3M shares |
| 1 year | -32% | -115M shares |
| 3 years | -26% | -86.9M shares |
NBIS has the edge over ASML on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | $10M |
| Q4 2021 | $84.1M |
| Q4 2020 | $122.8M |
| Q4 2019 | $17.2M |
| Q4 2018 | $121.8M |
| Q4 2014 | $101.7M |
| Q4 2013 | $102.9M |
ASML Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
ASML has more cash than debt.
NBIS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2022 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
NBIS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ASML Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
NBIS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.3 | Oversold |
NBIS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
ASML PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ASML | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 28x | 38% above |
| PE % | 30 | 35 | 5 pts below |
ASML has the edge over NBIS on valuation relative to its sector.
NBIS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NBIS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 390x | 16x | 2,264% above |
| PE % | 62 | 24 | 38 pts above |
NBIS is trading at 390x earnings, a 2264% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
ASML Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,636.6 | 8.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $1,696.6 | 12% below |
| 50 week MA | $1,531.1 | 2.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $1,160.1 | 29% above |
| 200 week MA | $964.4 | 55% above |
ASML has stronger trend alignment. ASML is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus NBIS above 1 of 4.
NBIS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $179.7 | 28% below |
| 20 week MA | $199.9 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $163.5 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $110.0 | 17% above |
NBIS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 17% above its 100-week average.
ASML Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $296.7 | $483.1 | +63% |
| 2021 | $483.1 | $801.4 | +66% |
| 2022 | $801.4 | $551.4 | -31% |
| 2023 | $551.4 | $756.9 | +37% |
| 2024 | $756.9 | $713.6 | -5.7% |
| 2025 | $713.6 | $1,072.8 | +50% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,072.8 | $1,497.1 | +40% |
ASML has finished higher in four of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 40% so far in 2026.
NBIS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $19.6 | $27.3 | +40% |
| 2025 | $27.3 | $87.6 | +221% |
| 2026 YTD | $87.6 | $128.6 | +47% |
NBIS has the edge over ASML on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.