ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

72
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ASML's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 30% and its operating margin rose 5 points to 39%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

MARA

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score MARA yet.

ASML Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

MARA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

MARA's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MARA.

ASML PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$1,375-8.2%
Current39x$1,497โ€”
Fair43x$1,684+13%
Expensive56x$2,177+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASML's PE is 39x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MARA PE Valuation

MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASML Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ASML, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MARA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MARA's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASML Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$1,989.81
Downside-22%$1,163.11

Calculated from the latest close: $1,497.12 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASML and MARA's risk to reward.

MARA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.20 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASML and MARA's risk to reward.

ASML Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$38.88+44%
Q2 2026$30.61+15%
Q3 2025$26.91+38%
Q2 2025$26.68+40%
Q1 2025$24.60+22%
Q4 2024$21.42-2.9%
Q3 2024$19.46-8.4%
Q2 2024$19.11-7.5%

ASML has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 58% for ASML versus MARA down 465%.

MARA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.92Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $-3.69Q1 2026: $-5.45Q2 2026: $-8.89Q3 2026: $-7.88
Q4 2023: $0.92Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $-3.69Q1 2026: $-5.45Q2 2026: $-8.89Q3 2026: $-7.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$7.88-465%
Q2 2026-$8.89-705%
Q1 2026-$5.45-$4.36
Q4 2025-$3.69-315%
Q3 2025$2.16+148%
Q2 2025$1.47-10%
Q1 2025-$1.09-149%
Q4 2024$1.72+87%

MARA has swung to a loss: it lost $7.88 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ASML Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13B+55%
Q2 2026$10.4B+21%
Q1 2026$9.7B+13%
Q4 2025$10.8B+4.9%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q2 2025$8.5B+23%
Q1 2025$8.6B+46%

ASML has the edge over MARA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MARA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $214MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $175MQ3 2026: $164M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $214MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $175MQ3 2026: $164M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$164.2M-35%
Q2 2026$174.9M-27%
Q1 2026$174.6M-18%
Q4 2025$202.3M-5.6%
Q3 2025$252.4M+92%
Q2 2025$238.5M+64%
Q1 2025$213.9M+29%
Q4 2024$214.4M+37%

MARA's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $164M last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASML Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: โˆ’$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
Q1 2024: โˆ’$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.6B+4571%
Q2 2026$1.6B+292%
Q1 2026-$2.9B-$2.4B
Q4 2025$12.2B+24%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q2 2025$397.4M-10%
Q1 2025-$527.8M+$223M

ASML has the edge over MARA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MARA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$93MQ1 2024: โˆ’$97MQ2 2024: โˆ’$132MQ3 2024: โˆ’$198MQ4 2024: โˆ’$500MQ1 2025: โˆ’$254MQ2 2025: โˆ’$282MQ3 2025: โˆ’$284MQ4 2025: โˆ’$389MQ1 2026: โˆ’$327MQ2 2026: โˆ’$239MQ3 2026: โˆ’$264M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$93MQ1 2024: โˆ’$97MQ2 2024: โˆ’$132MQ3 2024: โˆ’$198MQ4 2024: โˆ’$500MQ1 2025: โˆ’$254MQ2 2025: โˆ’$282MQ3 2025: โˆ’$284MQ4 2025: โˆ’$389MQ1 2026: โˆ’$327MQ2 2026: โˆ’$239MQ3 2026: โˆ’$264M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$263.6M+$20.3M
Q2 2026-$238.5M+$43.8M
Q1 2026-$327M-$72.7M
Q4 2025-$389.2M+$110.7M
Q3 2025-$283.9M-$85.8M
Q2 2025-$282.4M-$150M
Q1 2025-$254.3M-$156.9M
Q4 2024-$499.9M-$407M

MARA's free cash flow was โˆ’$1.2B over the past year, against โˆ’$1.3B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MARA.

ASML Total Shares

Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-2.6%-10.3M shares
5 years-5.3%-21.5M shares
Available history-8.6%-36.2M shares

ASML has the edge over MARA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MARA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 470MQ1 2026: 380MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 496M
Q1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 470MQ1 2026: 380MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 496M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+30%+115M shares
1 year+13%+55.5M shares
3 years+212%+337M shares
5 years+416%+400M shares

MARA has 496M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

ASML Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ASML has more cash than debt.

MARA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate
Q3 20240.9xVery low
Q2 20240.1xVery low
Q1 20240.0xVery low
Q4 2023-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20232.6xModerate

MARA's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MARA.

ASML Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MARA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.4Neutral
Stochastic10.2Oversold

MARA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ASML PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASMLSector medianRelative
PE39x28x38% above
PE %30355 pts below

ASML is trading at 39x earnings, a 38% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

MARA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMARASector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASML Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,636.68.5% below
20 week MA$1,696.612% below
50 week MA$1,531.12.2% below
100 week MA$1,160.129% above
200 week MA$964.455% above

ASML has the edge over MARA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MARA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.5416% below
20 week MA$10.330% below
50 week MA$10.632% below
100 week MA$13.346% below
200 week MA$14.450% below

MARA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.

ASML Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.7$483.1+63%
2021$483.1$801.4+66%
2022$801.4$551.4-31%
2023$551.4$756.9+37%
2024$756.9$713.6-5.7%
2025$713.6$1,072.8+50%
2026 YTD$1,072.8$1,497.1+40%

ASML has the edge over MARA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MARA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$0.90$10.9+1113%
2021$10.9$38.1+249%
2022$38.1$3.62-91%
2023$3.62$23.5+549%
2024$23.5$18.4-21%
2025$18.4$9.59-48%
2026 YTD$9.59$7.20-25%

MARA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1113% in 2020 to โˆ’91% in 2022. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

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