ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

72
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ASML's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 30% and its operating margin rose 5 points to 39%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

IONQ

IonQ, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score IONQ yet.

ASML Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

IONQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Unavailable

IONQ's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASML PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$1,375-8.2%
Current39x$1,497โ€”
Fair43x$1,684+13%
Expensive56x$2,177+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASML's PE is 39x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

IONQ PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Current33x$30.86โ€”
Cheap86x$80.61+161%
Fair126x$119+285%
Expensive147x$138+349%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IONQ has the edge over ASML in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ASML Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ASML, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IONQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IONQ's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASML Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$1,989.81
Downside-22%$1,163.11

Calculated from the latest close: $1,497.12 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASML and IONQ's risk to reward.

IONQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $30.86 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASML and IONQ's risk to reward.

ASML Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$38.88+44%
Q2 2026$30.61+15%
Q3 2025$26.91+38%
Q2 2025$26.68+40%
Q1 2025$24.60+22%
Q4 2024$21.42-2.9%
Q3 2024$19.46-8.4%
Q2 2024$19.11-7.5%

ASML has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 58% for ASML versus IONQ down 82%.

IONQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.78Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-1.56Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-5.37Q4 2025: $-1.82Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $-3.99Q3 2026: $0.94
Q4 2023: $-0.78Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-1.56Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-5.37Q4 2025: $-1.82Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $-3.99Q3 2026: $0.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.94+$6.31
Q2 2026-$3.99-$1.96
Q1 2026$0.39+$1.90
Q4 2025-$1.82-$0.26
Q3 2025-$5.37-$4.56
Q2 2025-$2.03-$1.24
Q1 2025-$1.51-$0.68
Q4 2024-$1.56-$0.78

IONQ has returned to profit: it earned $0.94 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ASML Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13B+55%
Q2 2026$10.4B+21%
Q1 2026$9.7B+13%
Q4 2025$10.8B+4.9%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q2 2025$8.5B+23%
Q1 2025$8.6B+46%

ASML's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $13B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

IONQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $174M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$173.8M+336%
Q2 2026$80.1M+287%
Q1 2026$64.7M+755%
Q4 2025$61.9M+429%
Q3 2025$39.9M+222%
Q2 2025$20.7M+82%
Q1 2025$7.6M-0.2%
Q4 2024$11.7M+92%

IONQ has the edge over ASML on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASML Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: โˆ’$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
Q1 2024: โˆ’$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.6B+4571%
Q2 2026$1.6B+292%
Q1 2026-$2.9B-$2.4B
Q4 2025$12.2B+24%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q2 2025$397.4M-10%
Q1 2025-$527.8M+$223M

ASML has the edge over IONQ on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IONQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$34MQ1 2024: โˆ’$24MQ2 2024: โˆ’$34MQ3 2024: โˆ’$23MQ4 2024: โˆ’$43MQ1 2025: โˆ’$35MQ2 2025: โˆ’$54MQ3 2025: โˆ’$127MQ4 2025: โˆ’$83MQ1 2026: โˆ’$159MQ2 2026: โˆ’$114MQ3 2026: โˆ’$332M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$34MQ1 2024: โˆ’$24MQ2 2024: โˆ’$34MQ3 2024: โˆ’$23MQ4 2024: โˆ’$43MQ1 2025: โˆ’$35MQ2 2025: โˆ’$54MQ3 2025: โˆ’$127MQ4 2025: โˆ’$83MQ1 2026: โˆ’$159MQ2 2026: โˆ’$114MQ3 2026: โˆ’$332M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$331.9M-$204.7M
Q2 2026-$114M-$60.2M
Q1 2026-$159.4M-$124.1M
Q4 2025-$83.3M-$40.3M
Q3 2025-$127.2M-$104.2M
Q2 2025-$53.8M-$19.7M
Q1 2025-$35.3M-$11.7M
Q4 2024-$43M-$9.2M

IONQ has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$689M over the past year, against โˆ’$259M the year before.

ASML Total Shares

Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-2.6%-10.3M shares
5 years-5.3%-21.5M shares
Available history-8.6%-36.2M shares

ASML has the edge over IONQ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IONQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 371MQ2 2026: 368MQ3 2026: 401M
Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 371MQ2 2026: 368MQ3 2026: 401M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9%+33.2M shares
1 year+60%+150M shares
3 years+99%+199M shares
5 years+108%+208M shares

IONQ has 401M diluted shares, up 60% from a year ago.

ASML Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ASML has more cash than debt.

IONQ Net Leverage

ASML Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

IONQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic22.3Neutral

IONQ's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

ASML PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASMLSector medianRelative
PE39x28x38% above
PE %30355 pts below

ASML is trading at 39x earnings, a 38% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

IONQ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIONQSector medianRelative
PE33x28x18% above

IONQ has the edge over ASML on valuation relative to its sector.

ASML Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,636.68.5% below
20 week MA$1,696.612% below
50 week MA$1,531.12.2% below
100 week MA$1,160.129% above
200 week MA$964.455% above

ASML has the edge over IONQ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IONQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.713% below
20 week MA$38.620% below
50 week MA$42.427% below
100 week MA$42.227% below
200 week MA$26.815% above

IONQ has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 15% above its 200-week average.

ASML Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.7$483.1+63%
2021$483.1$801.4+66%
2022$801.4$551.4-31%
2023$551.4$756.9+37%
2024$756.9$713.6-5.7%
2025$713.6$1,072.8+50%
2026 YTD$1,072.8$1,497.1+40%

ASML has the edge over IONQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IONQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$11.0$17.9+62%
2022$17.9$3.30-82%
2023$3.30$12.4+275%
2024$12.4$45.5+267%
2025$45.5$46.0+1.1%
2026 YTD$46.0$30.9-33%

IONQ's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to โˆ’82% in 2022. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

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