ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

72
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ASML offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DELL

Dell Technologies Inc.

73
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

DELL has a slight edge over ASML overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

ASML Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

DELL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

DELL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASML PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$1,375-8.2%
Current39x$1,497—
Fair43x$1,684+13%
Expensive56x$2,177+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASML has the edge over DELL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DELL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$187-50%
Forward12x$371—
Fair18x$313-16%
Current22x$371—
Expensive26x$444+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DELL's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASML Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ASML, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DELL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DELL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASML Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$1,989.81
Downside-22%$1,163.11

Calculated from the latest close: $1,497.12 on Nov 12.

ASML trails DELL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DELL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$712.12
Downside-20%$297.69

Calculated from the latest close: $371.17 on Nov 12.

DELL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASML, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASML Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$38.88+44%
Q2 2026$30.61+15%
Q3 2025$26.91+38%
Q2 2025$26.68+40%
Q1 2025$24.60+22%
Q4 2024$21.42-2.9%
Q3 2024$19.46-8.4%
Q2 2024$19.11-7.5%

DELL has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 58% for ASML versus DELL up 153%.

DELL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.64Q1 2024: $4.36Q2 2024: $4.89Q3 2024: $5.43Q4 2024: $5.65Q1 2025: $6.22Q2 2025: $6.27Q3 2025: $6.80Q4 2025: $7.50Q1 2026: $8.68Q2 2026: $12.55Q3 2026: $17.19Forward: $29.83
Q4 2023: $3.64Q1 2024: $4.36Q2 2024: $4.89Q3 2024: $5.43Q4 2024: $5.65Q1 2025: $6.22Q2 2025: $6.27Q3 2025: $6.80Q4 2025: $7.50Q1 2026: $8.68Q2 2026: $12.55Q3 2026: $17.19Forward: $29.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.83+74%
Q3 2026$17.19+153%
Q2 2026$12.55+100%
Q1 2026$8.68+40%
Q4 2025$7.50+33%
Q3 2025$6.80+25%
Q2 2025$6.27+28%
Q1 2025$6.22+43%
Q4 2024$5.65+55%

DELL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $17.19 over the past year, up 153% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

ASML Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13B+55%
Q2 2026$10.4B+21%
Q1 2026$9.7B+13%
Q4 2025$10.8B+4.9%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q2 2025$8.5B+23%
Q1 2025$8.6B+46%

ASML's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $13B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

DELL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22.3BQ1 2024: $22.3BQ2 2024: $22.2BQ3 2024: $25BQ4 2024: $24.4BQ1 2025: $23.9BQ2 2025: $23.4BQ3 2025: $29.8BQ4 2025: $27BQ1 2026: $33.4BQ2 2026: $43.8BQ3 2026: $47B
Q4 2023: $22.3BQ1 2024: $22.3BQ2 2024: $22.2BQ3 2024: $25BQ4 2024: $24.4BQ1 2025: $23.9BQ2 2025: $23.4BQ3 2025: $29.8BQ4 2025: $27BQ1 2026: $33.4BQ2 2026: $43.8BQ3 2026: $47B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$47B+58%
Q2 2026$43.8B+88%
Q1 2026$33.4B+39%
Q4 2025$27B+11%
Q3 2025$29.8B+19%
Q2 2025$23.4B+5.1%
Q1 2025$23.9B+7.2%
Q4 2024$24.4B+9.5%

DELL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $47B last quarter, up 58% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASML Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.6B+4571%
Q2 2026$1.6B+292%
Q1 2026-$2.9B-$2.4B
Q4 2025$12.2B+24%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q2 2025$397.4M-10%
Q1 2025-$527.8M+$223M

ASML generated $23.5B in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.

DELL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $806MQ2 2024: $447MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $914MQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $986M
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $806MQ2 2024: $447MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $914MQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $986M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$986M-47%
Q2 2026$3.1B+40%
Q1 2026$4B+$4.1B
Q4 2025$503M-45%
Q3 2025$1.9B+184%
Q2 2025$2.2B+398%
Q1 2025-$150M-119%
Q4 2024$914M-37%

DELL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $8.6B over the past year.

ASML Total Shares

Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-2.6%-10.3M shares
5 years-5.3%-21.5M shares
Available history-8.6%-36.2M shares

ASML has 384M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago, with $8.7B in buybacks over the past year.

DELL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 740MQ1 2024: 736MQ2 2024: 727MQ3 2024: 724MQ4 2024: 717MQ1 2025: 720MQ2 2025: 702MQ3 2025: 686MQ4 2025: 680MQ1 2026: 684MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 740MQ1 2024: 736MQ2 2024: 727MQ3 2024: 724MQ4 2024: 717MQ1 2025: 720MQ2 2025: 702MQ3 2025: 686MQ4 2025: 680MQ1 2026: 684MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-4M shares
1 year-5%-34M shares
3 years-12%-86M shares
5 years-58%-899M shares
Available history-56%-828M shares

DELL has the edge over ASML on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASML Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ASML has the edge over DELL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DELL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

DELL's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.

ASML Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

DELL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic17.5Oversold

DELL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

ASML PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASMLSector medianRelative
PE39x28x38% above
PE %30355 pts below

ASML is trading at 39x earnings, a 38% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

DELL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDELLSector medianRelative
PE22x28x23% below
PE %663531 pts above

DELL has the edge over ASML on valuation relative to its sector.

ASML Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,636.68.5% below
20 week MA$1,696.612% below
50 week MA$1,531.12.2% below
100 week MA$1,160.129% above
200 week MA$964.455% above

ASML has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 55% above its 200-week average.

DELL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$468.021% below
20 week MA$465.720% below
50 week MA$307.321% above
100 week MA$212.974% above
200 week MA$149.7148% above

DELL has the edge over ASML on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASML Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.7$483.1+63%
2021$483.1$801.4+66%
2022$801.4$551.4-31%
2023$551.4$756.9+37%
2024$756.9$713.6-5.7%
2025$713.6$1,072.8+50%
2026 YTD$1,072.8$1,497.1+40%

ASML has finished higher in four of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 40% so far in 2026.

DELL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.8$37.0+43%
2021$37.0$55.9+51%
2022$55.9$39.1-30%
2023$39.1$76.5+96%
2024$76.5$117.3+53%
2025$117.3$129.2+10%
2026 YTD$129.2$371.2+187%

DELL has the edge over ASML on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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