ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

72
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ASML has the edge over CRWV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

CRWV

CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock

52
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

CRWV offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ASML Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

CRWV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

CRWV's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ASML PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$1,375-8.2%
Current39x$1,497—
Fair43x$1,684+13%
Expensive56x$2,177+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASML's PE is 39x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CRWV PE Valuation

CRWV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASML Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ASML, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRWV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect CRWV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASML Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$1,989.81
Downside-22%$1,163.11

Calculated from the latest close: $1,497.12 on Nov 12.

ASML trails CRWV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRWV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$101.48
Downside-42%$32.77

Calculated from the latest close: $56.60 on Nov 12.

CRWV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASML, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASML Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$38.88+44%
Q2 2026$30.61+15%
Q3 2025$26.91+38%
Q2 2025$26.68+40%
Q1 2025$24.60+22%
Q4 2024$21.42-2.9%
Q3 2024$19.46-8.4%
Q2 2024$19.11-7.5%

ASML has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 58% for ASML versus CRWV down 274%.

CRWV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $-2.42Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-3.34Q2 2025: $-3.10Q3 2025: $-2.48Q4 2025: $-2.81Q1 2026: $-2.72Q2 2026: $-3.26Q3 2026: $-4.31
Q3 2024: $-2.42Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-3.34Q2 2025: $-3.10Q3 2025: $-2.48Q4 2025: $-2.81Q1 2026: $-2.72Q2 2026: $-3.26Q3 2026: $-4.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$4.31-$1.83
Q2 2026-$3.26-$0.16
Q1 2026-$2.72+$0.62
Q4 2025-$2.81-$0.64
Q3 2025-$2.48-$0.06

CRWV lost $4.31 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

ASML Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13B+55%
Q2 2026$10.4B+21%
Q1 2026$9.7B+13%
Q4 2025$10.8B+4.9%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q2 2025$8.5B+23%
Q1 2025$8.6B+46%

ASML's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $13B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRWV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $584MQ4 2024: $747MQ1 2025: $982MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $584MQ4 2024: $747MQ1 2025: $982MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+168%
Q2 2026$2.6B+112%
Q1 2026$2.1B+112%
Q4 2025$1.6B+110%
Q3 2025$1.4B+134%
Q2 2025$1.2B+207%
Q1 2025$981.6M+420%
Q4 2024$747.4M+544%

CRWV has the edge over ASML on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASML Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.6B+4571%
Q2 2026$1.6B+292%
Q1 2026-$2.9B-$2.4B
Q4 2025$12.2B+24%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q2 2025$397.4M-10%
Q1 2025-$527.8M+$223M

ASML has the edge over CRWV on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CRWV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.1BQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: −$2.4BQ3 2024: −$574MQ4 2024: −$3.3BQ1 2025: −$1.3BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$700MQ4 2025: −$2.5BQ1 2026: −$4.7BQ2 2026: −$5.7BQ3 2026: −$7.5B
Q4 2023: −$1.1BQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: −$2.4BQ3 2024: −$574MQ4 2024: −$3.3BQ1 2025: −$1.3BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$700MQ4 2025: −$2.5BQ1 2026: −$4.7BQ2 2026: −$5.7BQ3 2026: −$7.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.5B-$6.8B
Q2 2026-$5.7B-$3B
Q1 2026-$4.7B-$3.4B
Q4 2025-$2.5B+$810.3M
Q3 2025-$699.8M-$125.8M
Q2 2025-$2.7B-$339.3M
Q1 2025-$1.3B-553%
Q4 2024-$3.3B-$2.2B

CRWV has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$20.4B over the past year, against −$8.1B the year before.

ASML Total Shares

Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-2.6%-10.3M shares
5 years-5.3%-21.5M shares
Available history-8.6%-36.2M shares

ASML has the edge over CRWV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRWV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 404MQ1 2024: 404MQ2 2024: 404MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 239MQ1 2025: 249MQ2 2025: 487MQ3 2025: 498MQ4 2025: 436MQ1 2026: 527MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 559M
Q4 2023: 404MQ1 2024: 404MQ2 2024: 404MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 239MQ1 2025: 249MQ2 2025: 487MQ3 2025: 498MQ4 2025: 436MQ1 2026: 527MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 559M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+8M shares
1 year+12%+61.1M shares

CRWV has 559M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

ASML Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ASML has more cash than debt.

CRWV Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 19.3xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 5.6xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.6xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2024: 19.3xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 5.6xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.6xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 20267.6xHigh
Q4 20257.6xHigh
Q3 20255.6xHigh
Q2 20256.5xHigh
Q1 20258.4xHigh
Q4 202419.3xHigh

CRWV has the edge over ASML on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ASML Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CRWV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.7Neutral
Stochastic11.3Oversold

CRWV's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

ASML PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASMLSector medianRelative
PE39x28x38% above
PE %30355 pts below

ASML is trading at 39x earnings, a 38% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

CRWV PE vs Technology Sector

CRWV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASML Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,636.68.5% below
20 week MA$1,696.612% below
50 week MA$1,531.12.2% below
100 week MA$1,160.129% above
200 week MA$964.455% above

ASML has stronger trend alignment. ASML is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus CRWV above 0 of 3.

CRWV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.615% below
20 week MA$77.427% below
50 week MA$87.435% below

CRWV is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 35% below its 50-week average.

ASML Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.7$483.1+63%
2021$483.1$801.4+66%
2022$801.4$551.4-31%
2023$551.4$756.9+37%
2024$756.9$713.6-5.7%
2025$713.6$1,072.8+50%
2026 YTD$1,072.8$1,497.1+40%

ASML has the edge over CRWV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CRWV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$40.0$76.4+91%
2026 YTD$76.4$56.6-26%

CRWV has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 26% so far in 2026.

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