ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

72
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ASML has the edge over CRWD overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

CRWD

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

63
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CRWD offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ASML Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

CRWD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Unavailable

CRWD's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASML PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$1,375-8.2%
Current39x$1,497—
Fair43x$1,684+13%
Expensive56x$2,177+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASML has the edge over CRWD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CRWD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1144x2288x3432x4577x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1144x2288x3432x4577x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward153x$230—
Cheap451x$27.04-88%
Fair715x$42.92-81%
Expensive3,337x$200-13%
Current3,678x$230—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRWD's PE is in its expensive range at 3678x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 153x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASML Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ASML, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRWD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Broad
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CRWD, with profitability improving.

ASML Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$1,989.81
Downside-22%$1,163.11

Calculated from the latest close: $1,497.12 on Nov 12.

ASML trails CRWD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRWD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$341.14
Downside-26%$170.12

Calculated from the latest close: $229.87 on Nov 12.

CRWD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASML, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASML Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$38.88+44%
Q2 2026$30.61+15%
Q3 2025$26.91+38%
Q2 2025$26.68+40%
Q1 2025$24.60+22%
Q4 2024$21.42-2.9%
Q3 2024$19.46-8.4%
Q2 2024$19.11-7.5%

ASML has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 58% for ASML versus CRWD down 80%.

CRWD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.16Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $1.50
Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.16Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $1.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.50+2400%
Q3 2026$0.06+$0.36
Q2 2026-$0.03+$0.14
Q1 2026-$0.16-$0.14
Q4 2025-$0.32-346%
Q3 2025-$0.30-276%
Q2 2025-$0.17-221%
Q1 2025-$0.02-122%
Q4 2024$0.13+$0.15

CRWD has returned to profit: it earned $0.06 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ASML Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13B+55%
Q2 2026$10.4B+21%
Q1 2026$9.7B+13%
Q4 2025$10.8B+4.9%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q2 2025$8.5B+23%
Q1 2025$8.6B+46%

ASML's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $13B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRWD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $845MQ2 2024: $921MQ3 2024: $964MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $845MQ2 2024: $921MQ3 2024: $964MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+26%
Q2 2026$1.4B+26%
Q1 2026$1.3B+23%
Q4 2025$1.2B+22%
Q3 2025$1.2B+21%
Q2 2025$1.1B+20%
Q1 2025$1.1B+25%
Q4 2024$1B+29%

CRWD has the edge over ASML on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASML Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.6B+4571%
Q2 2026$1.6B+292%
Q1 2026-$2.9B-$2.4B
Q4 2025$12.2B+24%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q2 2025$397.4M-10%
Q1 2025-$527.8M+$223M

ASML generated $23.5B in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.

CRWD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $252MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $334MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $259MQ2 2025: $298MQ3 2025: $302MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $395MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $406M
Q4 2023: $252MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $334MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $259MQ2 2025: $298MQ3 2025: $302MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $395MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $406M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.9M+34%
Q2 2026$493.3M+65%
Q1 2026$395.4M+53%
Q4 2025$314.1M+27%
Q3 2025$302.3M+5.2%
Q2 2025$298.4M-11%
Q1 2025$258.5M-12%
Q4 2024$247.4M-1.9%

CRWD has the edge over ASML on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASML Total Shares

Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-2.6%-10.3M shares
5 years-5.3%-21.5M shares
Available history-8.6%-36.2M shares

ASML has the edge over CRWD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRWD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 975MQ1 2024: 975MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 982MQ1 2025: 979MQ2 2025: 994MQ3 2025: 1000MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
Q4 2023: 975MQ1 2024: 975MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 982MQ1 2025: 979MQ2 2025: 994MQ3 2025: 1000MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+12.9M shares
1 year+4.5%+44.8M shares
3 years+7.8%+75.9M shares
5 years+15%+139M shares
Available history+28%+228M shares

CRWD has 1B diluted shares, up 4.5% from a year ago.

ASML Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ASML has more cash than debt.

CRWD Net Leverage

ASML Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CRWD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.1Neutral
Stochastic49.1Neutral

CRWD's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

ASML PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASMLSector medianRelative
PE39x28x38% above
PE %30355 pts below

ASML has the edge over CRWD on valuation relative to its sector.

CRWD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRWDSector medianRelative
PE3,678x28x13,101% above
PE %913556 pts above

CRWD is trading at 3678x earnings, a 13101% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASML Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,636.68.5% below
20 week MA$1,696.612% below
50 week MA$1,531.12.2% below
100 week MA$1,160.129% above
200 week MA$964.455% above

ASML has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 55% above its 200-week average.

CRWD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$247.47.1% below
20 week MA$221.93.6% above
50 week MA$163.041% above
100 week MA$136.069% above
200 week MA$97.5136% above

CRWD has the edge over ASML on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASML Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.7$483.1+63%
2021$483.1$801.4+66%
2022$801.4$551.4-31%
2023$551.4$756.9+37%
2024$756.9$713.6-5.7%
2025$713.6$1,072.8+50%
2026 YTD$1,072.8$1,497.1+40%

ASML has finished higher in four of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 40% so far in 2026.

CRWD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.2$55.3+352%
2021$55.3$52.9-4.3%
2022$52.9$25.5-52%
2023$25.5$63.8+150%
2024$63.8$88.8+39%
2025$88.8$120.3+36%
2026 YTD$120.3$229.9+91%

CRWD has the edge over ASML on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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