ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

72
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ASML's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 30% and its operating margin rose 5 points to 39%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

CRCL

Circle Internet Group

There isn't enough reported data to score CRCL yet.

ASML Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

CRCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

CRCL's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CRCL.

ASML PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$1,375-8.2%
Current39x$1,497—
Fair43x$1,684+13%
Expensive56x$2,177+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASML's PE is 39x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CRCL PE Valuation

CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASML Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ASML, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRCL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CRCL to show an outlook.

ASML Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$1,989.81
Downside-22%$1,163.11

Calculated from the latest close: $1,497.12 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASML and CRCL's risk to reward.

CRCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $63.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASML and CRCL's risk to reward.

ASML Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$38.88+44%
Q2 2026$30.61+15%
Q3 2025$26.91+38%
Q2 2025$26.68+40%
Q1 2025$24.60+22%
Q4 2024$21.42-2.9%
Q3 2024$19.46-8.4%
Q2 2024$19.11-7.5%

ASML earned $38.88 per share over the past year, up 58% from the year before.

CRCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $-2.61Q3 2025: $-2.94
Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $-2.61Q3 2025: $-2.94

CRCL and ASML do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

ASML Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13B+55%
Q2 2026$10.4B+21%
Q1 2026$9.7B+13%
Q4 2025$10.8B+4.9%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q2 2025$8.5B+23%
Q1 2025$8.6B+46%

ASML's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $13B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRCL Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $430MQ3 2024: $446MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $694MQ2 2026: $701MQ3 2026: $865M
Q1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $430MQ3 2024: $446MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $694MQ2 2026: $701MQ3 2026: $865M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$864.9M+17%
Q2 2026$701.3M+6.6%
Q1 2026$694.1M+20%
Q4 2025$770.2M+77%
Q3 2025$739.8M+66%
Q2 2025$658.1M+53%
Q1 2025$578.6M+58%

CRCL has the edge over ASML on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASML Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.6B+4571%
Q2 2026$1.6B+292%
Q1 2026-$2.9B-$2.4B
Q4 2025$12.2B+24%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q2 2025$397.4M-10%
Q1 2025-$527.8M+$223M

ASML generated $23.5B in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.

CRCL Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: −$36M
Q1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: −$36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35.6M-$20.8M
Q1 2026$11.7M-74%
Q4 2025$248.1M+162%
Q3 2025-$14.7M-114%
Q1 2025$44.9M-34%

CRCL's free cash flow was $741M over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CRCL.

ASML Total Shares

Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-2.6%-10.3M shares
5 years-5.3%-21.5M shares
Available history-8.6%-36.2M shares

ASML has the edge over CRCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRCL Total Shares

Q1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 269MQ3 2026: 268M
Q1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 269MQ3 2026: 268M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-861K shares
1 year+149%+160M shares

CRCL has 268M diluted shares, up 149% from a year ago.

ASML Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ASML has more cash than debt.

CRCL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2026: -5.4xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2026: -5.4xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.6xNet Cash

CRCL has the edge over ASML on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ASML Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CRCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.1Neutral
Stochastic19.0Oversold

CRCL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ASML PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASMLSector medianRelative
PE39x28x38% above
PE %30355 pts below

ASML is trading at 39x earnings, a 38% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

CRCL PE vs Financial Services Sector

CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASML Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,636.68.5% below
20 week MA$1,696.612% below
50 week MA$1,531.12.2% below
100 week MA$1,160.129% above
200 week MA$964.455% above

ASML has stronger trend alignment. ASML is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus CRCL above 0 of 3.

CRCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.419% below
20 week MA$77.117% below
50 week MA$84.224% below

CRCL is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 24% below its 50-week average.

ASML Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.7$483.1+63%
2021$483.1$801.4+66%
2022$801.4$551.4-31%
2023$551.4$756.9+37%
2024$756.9$713.6-5.7%
2025$713.6$1,072.8+50%
2026 YTD$1,072.8$1,497.1+40%

ASML has the edge over CRCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CRCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$107.7$81.3-25%
2026 YTD$81.3$63.8-21%

CRCL has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 21% so far in 2026.

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