ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

72
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ASML's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AVGO

Broadcom Inc.

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

AVGO has the edge over ASML overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

ASML Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ASML's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

AVGO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AVGO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ASML PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$1,375-8.2%
Current39x$1,497—
Fair43x$1,684+13%
Expensive56x$2,177+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASML has the edge over AVGO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AVGO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE52x103x155x207x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE52x103x155x207x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$364—
Cheap27x$211-42%
Current46x$364—
Fair49x$384+5.3%
Expensive86x$671+84%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVGO's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASML Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

ASML has the edge over AVGO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AVGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AVGO, with profitability holding steady.

ASML Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$1,989.81
Downside-22%$1,163.11

Calculated from the latest close: $1,497.12 on Nov 12.

ASML trails AVGO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AVGO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$709.93
Downside-17%$302.18

Calculated from the latest close: $364.36 on Nov 12.

AVGO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASML, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASML Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
Q1 2024: $20.11Q2 2024: $19.11Q3 2024: $19.46Q4 2024: $21.42Q1 2025: $24.60Q2 2025: $26.68Q3 2025: $26.91Q2 2026: $30.61Q3 2026: $38.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$38.88+44%
Q2 2026$30.61+15%
Q3 2025$26.91+38%
Q2 2025$26.68+40%
Q1 2025$24.60+22%
Q4 2024$21.42-2.9%
Q3 2024$19.46-8.4%
Q2 2024$19.11-7.5%

AVGO has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 58% for ASML versus AVGO up 100%.

AVGO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.30Q1 2024: $2.70Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.67Q3 2025: $3.92Q4 2025: $4.77Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $7.84Forward: $19.23
Q4 2023: $3.30Q1 2024: $2.70Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.67Q3 2025: $3.92Q4 2025: $4.77Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $7.84Forward: $19.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.23+145%
Q3 2026$7.84+100%
Q2 2026$6.01+125%
Q1 2026$5.13+145%
Q4 2025$4.77+288%
Q3 2025$3.92+241%
Q2 2025$2.67+15%
Q1 2025$2.09-23%
Q4 2024$1.23-63%

AVGO earned $7.84 per share over the past year, up 100% from the year before.

ASML Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
Q1 2024: $5.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $8.3BQ4 2024: $10.3BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.3BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $9.7BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $13B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13B+55%
Q2 2026$10.4B+21%
Q1 2026$9.7B+13%
Q4 2025$10.8B+4.9%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q3 2025$8.3B+0.7%
Q2 2025$8.5B+23%
Q1 2025$8.6B+46%

ASML's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $13B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

AVGO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.3BQ1 2024: $12BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $13.1BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.9BQ2 2025: $15BQ3 2025: $16BQ4 2025: $18BQ1 2026: $19.3BQ2 2026: $22.2BQ3 2026: $29.6B
Q4 2023: $9.3BQ1 2024: $12BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $13.1BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.9BQ2 2025: $15BQ3 2025: $16BQ4 2025: $18BQ1 2026: $19.3BQ2 2026: $22.2BQ3 2026: $29.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$29.6B+86%
Q2 2026$22.2B+48%
Q1 2026$19.3B+29%
Q4 2025$18B+28%
Q3 2025$16B+22%
Q2 2025$15B+20%
Q1 2025$14.9B+25%
Q4 2024$14.1B+51%

AVGO has the edge over ASML on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASML Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
Q1 2024: −$751MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $9.8BQ1 2025: −$528MQ2 2025: $397MQ3 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $12.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.6B+4571%
Q2 2026$1.6B+292%
Q1 2026-$2.9B-$2.4B
Q4 2025$12.2B+24%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q3 2025$270.7M-54%
Q2 2025$397.4M-10%
Q1 2025-$527.8M+$223M

ASML generated $23.5B in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.

AVGO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.4BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.4BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $13.7B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.4BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.4BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $13.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.7B+95%
Q2 2026$10.3B+60%
Q1 2026$8B+33%
Q4 2025$7.5B+36%
Q3 2025$7B+47%
Q2 2025$6.4B+44%
Q1 2025$6B+28%
Q4 2024$5.5B+16%

AVGO has the edge over ASML on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASML Total Shares

Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
Q1 2024: 394MQ2 2024: 394MQ3 2024: 394MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 388MQ4 2025: 387MQ1 2026: 386MQ2 2026: 385MQ3 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-2.6%-10.3M shares
5 years-5.3%-21.5M shares
Available history-8.6%-36.2M shares

ASML has the edge over AVGO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AVGO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.3BQ1 2024: 4.7BQ2 2024: 4.8BQ3 2024: 4.7BQ4 2024: 4.8BQ1 2025: 4.8BQ2 2025: 4.8BQ3 2025: 4.9BQ4 2025: 4.9BQ1 2026: 4.9BQ2 2026: 4.9BQ3 2026: 4.9B
Q4 2023: 4.3BQ1 2024: 4.7BQ2 2024: 4.8BQ3 2024: 4.7BQ4 2024: 4.8BQ1 2025: 4.8BQ2 2025: 4.8BQ3 2025: 4.9BQ4 2025: 4.9BQ1 2026: 4.9BQ2 2026: 4.9BQ3 2026: 4.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+11M shares
1 year+0.6%+27M shares
3 years+14%+617M shares
5 years+14%+597M shares
Available history+17%+697M shares

AVGO has 4.9B diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

ASML Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ASML has the edge over AVGO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AVGO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20244.1xHigh

AVGO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

ASML Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

ASML's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

AVGO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic20.3Neutral

AVGO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

ASML PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASMLSector medianRelative
PE39x28x38% above
PE %30355 pts below

ASML has the edge over AVGO on valuation relative to its sector.

AVGO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAVGOSector medianRelative
PE46x28x67% above
PE %473512 pts above

AVGO is trading at 46x earnings, a 67% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASML Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,636.68.5% below
20 week MA$1,696.612% below
50 week MA$1,531.12.2% below
100 week MA$1,160.129% above
200 week MA$964.455% above

ASML has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 55% above its 200-week average.

AVGO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$338.07.8% above
20 week MA$362.10.6% above
50 week MA$363.00.4% above
100 week MA$313.816% above
200 week MA$214.370% above

AVGO has the edge over ASML on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASML Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.7$483.1+63%
2021$483.1$801.4+66%
2022$801.4$551.4-31%
2023$551.4$756.9+37%
2024$756.9$713.6-5.7%
2025$713.6$1,072.8+50%
2026 YTD$1,072.8$1,497.1+40%

ASML has the edge over AVGO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

AVGO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.7$43.2+36%
2021$43.2$66.5+54%
2022$66.5$55.2-17%
2023$55.2$111.6+102%
2024$111.6$241.8+117%
2025$241.8$352.1+46%
2026 YTD$352.1$364.4+3.5%

AVGO has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 3.5% so far in 2026.

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