ASMB

Assembly Biosciences, Inc.

54
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

ASMB has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASMB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Unavailable

ASMB's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ASMB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE97x193x290x387x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE97x193x290x387x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$19.00-5.8%
Current20x$20.18—
Fair124x$124+513%
Expensive344x$344+1604%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASMB's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over ASMB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ASMB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect ASMB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASMB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$28.62
Downside-30%$14.10

Calculated from the latest close: $20.18 on Nov 12.

ASMB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails ASMB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASMB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.38Q1 2024: $-10.60Q2 2024: $-8.74Q3 2024: $-7.01Q4 2024: $-6.69Q1 2025: $-6.20Q2 2025: $-5.55Q3 2025: $-4.76Q4 2025: $-0.55Q1 2026: $0.08Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $1.00
Q4 2023: $-13.38Q1 2024: $-10.60Q2 2024: $-8.74Q3 2024: $-7.01Q4 2024: $-6.69Q1 2025: $-6.20Q2 2025: $-5.55Q3 2025: $-4.76Q4 2025: $-0.55Q1 2026: $0.08Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $1.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.00+$5.76
Q2 2026$1.21+$6.76
Q1 2026$0.08+$6.28
Q4 2025-$0.55+$6.14
Q3 2025-$4.76+$2.25
Q2 2025-$5.55+$3.19
Q1 2025-$6.20+$4.40
Q4 2024-$6.69+$6.69

ASMB has returned to profit: it earned $1.00 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

ASMB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3M-73%
Q2 2026$13.4M+39%
Q1 2026$8.2M-13%
Q4 2025$42.5M+477%
Q3 2025$10.8M+58%
Q2 2025$9.6M+13%
Q1 2025$9.4M+63%
Q3 2021$6.3M-82%

ASMB's revenue is growing: $3M last quarter, down 73% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASMB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$407,000Q1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$17M
Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$407,000Q1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$17.3M-$2.1M
Q2 2026-$15.5M+$1.3M
Q1 2026-$22.1M+$1.3M
Q4 2025$14.2M+$14.6M
Q3 2025-$15.2M+$69K
Q2 2025-$16.8M+$358K
Q1 2025-$23.4M-$5.1M
Q4 2024-$407K-101%

ASMB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$41M over the past year, against −$56M the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over ASMB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASMB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+16%+2.9M shares
1 year+184%+14.1M shares
3 years+400%+17.4M shares
5 years+510%+18.2M shares
Available history+895%+19.6M shares

ASMB has 22M diluted shares, up 184% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over ASMB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASMB Net Leverage

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ASMB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.5Neutral
Stochastic5.7Oversold

ASMB's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ASMB PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricASMBSector medianRelative
PE20x26x22% below
PE %26293 pts below

ASMB is trading at 20x earnings, a 22% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over ASMB on valuation relative to its sector.

ASMB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.35.3% below
20 week MA$26.123% below
50 week MA$27.827% below
100 week MA$23.414% below
200 week MA$18.49.9% above

ASMB has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 9.9% above its 200-week average.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

ASMB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$251.3$74.4-70%
2021$74.4$27.2-63%
2022$27.2$15.1-44%
2023$15.1$9.84-35%
2024$9.84$15.2+54%
2025$15.2$33.6+122%
2026 YTD$33.6$20.2-40%

ASMB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +122% in 2025 to −70% in 2020. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over ASMB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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