ASLE

AerSale Corporation

38
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ASLE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over ASLE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ASLE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Weak

ASLE's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASLE PE Valuation

ASLE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASLE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect ASLE's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over ASLE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ASLE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$6.37
Downside-19%$4.14

Calculated from the latest close: $5.14 on Nov 12.

ASLE trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASLE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASLE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.03Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $-0.01Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $0.14Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $-0.09Q3 2026: $-0.40Forward: $0.27
Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.03Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $-0.01Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $0.14Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $-0.09Q3 2026: $-0.40Forward: $0.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.27—
Q3 2026-$0.40-408%
Q2 2026-$0.09-164%
Q1 2026$0.21+$0.32
Q4 2025$0.18+64%
Q3 2025$0.13+$0.14
Q2 2025$0.14+$0.16
Q1 2025-$0.11-$0.08
Q4 2024$0.11+$0.26

ASLE has the edge over RKLB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

ASLE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$91.6M+29%
Q2 2026$70.9M-34%
Q1 2026$70.6M+7.4%
Q4 2025$90.9M-4%
Q3 2025$71.2M-14%
Q2 2025$107.4M+39%
Q1 2025$65.8M-27%
Q4 2024$94.7M+0.3%

ASLE's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $92M last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over ASLE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASLE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.1M-$1.3M
Q2 2026-$7.6M-141%
Q1 2026-$27.7M+$19.9M
Q4 2025$9.8M-70%
Q3 2025-$9.8M-211%
Q2 2025$18.6M+$37.6M
Q1 2025-$47.6M-$22.6M
Q4 2024$32.3M+$41.9M

ASLE has burned cash in most quarters: −$37M over the past year, against −$7M the year before.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

ASLE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+377K shares
1 year+1.2%+544K shares
3 years-7%-3.6M shares
5 years+12%+5.1M shares

ASLE has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

ASLE Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 6.6xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 7.8xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 15.1x
Q1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 6.6xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 7.8xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 15.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202615.1xHigh
Q2 20266.2xHigh
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20257.8xHigh
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

ASLE's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASLE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic20.4Neutral

ASLE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ASLE PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricASLESector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

ASLE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASLE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.944% above
20 week MA$5.516.7% below
50 week MA$6.3018% below
100 week MA$6.6322% below
200 week MA$8.9643% below

ASLE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 43% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over ASLE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASLE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.2$11.9+17%
2021$11.9$17.3+46%
2022$17.3$15.4-11%
2023$15.4$12.7-17%
2024$12.7$6.13-52%
2025$6.13$7.11+16%
2026 YTD$7.11$5.14-28%

ASLE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over ASLE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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