ASLE
AerSale Corporation
ASLE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over ASLE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
ASLE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
ASLE's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASLE PE Valuation
ASLE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASLE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ASLE's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over ASLE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
ASLE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.27 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.40 | -408% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.09 | -164% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.21 | +$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.18 | +64% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.13 | +$0.14 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.14 | +$0.16 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.11 | -$0.08 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.11 | +$0.26 |
ASLE has the edge over RDW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
ASLE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $91.6M | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $70.9M | -34% |
| Q1 2026 | $70.6M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $90.9M | -4% |
| Q3 2025 | $71.2M | -14% |
| Q2 2025 | $107.4M | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $65.8M | -27% |
| Q4 2024 | $94.7M | +0.3% |
ASLE's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $92M last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -13% | -17 points |
| Q2 2026 | -6.7% | -18 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.7% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.8% | +2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | -10% | -15 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.2% | +6.3 points |
ASLE has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over ASLE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ASLE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$11.1M | -$1.3M |
| Q2 2026 | -$7.6M | -141% |
| Q1 2026 | -$27.7M | +$19.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $9.8M | -70% |
| Q3 2025 | -$9.8M | -211% |
| Q2 2025 | $18.6M | +$37.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$47.6M | -$22.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $32.3M | +$41.9M |
ASLE has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
ASLE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +377K shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +544K shares |
| 3 years | -7% | -3.6M shares |
| 5 years | +12% | +5.1M shares |
ASLE has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ASLE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.2x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 7.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
ASLE's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASLE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.4 | Neutral |
ASLE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
ASLE PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ASLE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
ASLE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASLE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.94 | 4% above |
| 20 week MA | $5.51 | 6.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $6.30 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.63 | 22% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.96 | 43% below |
ASLE has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
ASLE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.2 | $11.9 | +17% |
| 2021 | $11.9 | $17.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $17.3 | $15.4 | -11% |
| 2023 | $15.4 | $12.7 | -17% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $6.13 | -52% |
| 2025 | $6.13 | $7.11 | +16% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.11 | $5.14 | -28% |
ASLE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 28% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over ASLE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.