ASH

Ashland Inc.

63
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ASH's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin went from −43% to 7.4% and free cash flow more than tripled. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

ASH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Stable

ASH's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

ASH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE249x498x747x996x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE249x498x747x996x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$8.05-89%
Forward18x$75.27—
Fair24x$29.85-60%
Expensive31x$39.14-48%
Current941x$75.27—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASH's PE is 941x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ASH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$96.21
Downside-21%$59.18

Calculated from the latest close: $75.27 on Nov 12.

ASH's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +28% against −21%.

ASH Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.31Q4 2023: $3.09Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $2.99Q3 2024: $3.36Q4 2024: $-0.65Q1 2025: $-2.39Q2 2025: $-18.72Q3 2025: $-18.23Q4 2025: $-14.99Q1 2026: $-15.30Q2 2026: $1.26Forward: $4.26
Q3 2023: $3.31Q4 2023: $3.09Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $2.99Q3 2024: $3.36Q4 2024: $-0.65Q1 2025: $-2.39Q2 2025: $-18.72Q3 2025: $-18.23Q4 2025: $-14.99Q1 2026: $-15.30Q2 2026: $1.26Forward: $4.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.26+238%
Q2 2026$1.26+$19.98
Q1 2026-$15.30-$12.91
Q4 2025-$14.99-$14.34
Q3 2025-$18.23-643%
Q2 2025-$18.72-726%
Q1 2025-$2.39-163%
Q4 2024-$0.65-121%
Q3 2024$3.36+1.5%

ASH has returned to profit: it earned $1.26 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ASH Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $517MQ4 2023: $473MQ1 2024: $575MQ2 2024: $544MQ3 2024: $522MQ4 2024: $405MQ1 2025: $479MQ2 2025: $463MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $482MQ2 2026: $497M
Q3 2023: $517MQ4 2023: $473MQ1 2024: $575MQ2 2024: $544MQ3 2024: $522MQ4 2024: $405MQ1 2025: $479MQ2 2025: $463MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $482MQ2 2026: $497M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$497M+7.3%
Q1 2026$482M+0.6%
Q4 2025$386M-4.7%
Q3 2025$477M-8.6%
Q2 2025$463M-15%
Q1 2025$479M-17%
Q4 2024$405M-14%
Q3 2024$522M+1%

ASH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $497M last quarter, up 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASH Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $62MQ4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $100M
Q3 2023: $62MQ4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $100M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$100M+5.3%
Q1 2026$33M+$45M
Q4 2025$111M+$164M
Q3 2025$6M-86%
Q2 2025$95M-3.1%
Q1 2025-$12M-160%
Q4 2024-$53M-132%
Q3 2024$42M-32%

ASH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $250M over the past year.

ASH Total Shares

Q3 2023: 54MQ4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46M
Q3 2023: 54MQ4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-8%-4M shares
3 years-18%-10M shares
5 years-27%-17M shares

ASH has 46M diluted shares, down 8% from a year ago.

ASH Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.2xQ4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 18.2xQ1 2025: 18.2xQ2 2026: 2.9x
Q3 2023: 2.2xQ4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 18.2xQ1 2025: 18.2xQ2 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q1 202518.2xHigh
Q4 202418.2xHigh
Q3 20244.3xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh
Q1 20242.6xModerate
Q4 20232.4xModerate
Q3 20232.2xModerate

ASH's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.3 years a year ago.

ASH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.5Neutral
Stochastic71.6Neutral

ASH's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

ASH PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricASHSector medianRelative
PE941x19x4,956% above
PE %1004060 pts above

ASH is trading at 941x earnings, a 4956% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x, though its earnings don't support one.

ASH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.53.8% above
20 week MA$71.65.2% above
50 week MA$63.918% above
100 week MA$59.626% above
200 week MA$74.70.8% above

ASH has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 0.8% above its 200-week average.

ASH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$76.5$79.2+3.6%
2021$79.2$104.3+32%
2022$104.3$108.2+3.7%
2023$108.2$84.3-22%
2024$84.3$71.6-15%
2025$71.6$59.7-17%
2026 YTD$59.7$75.3+26%

ASH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 26% so far in 2026.

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