AS

Amer Sports, Inc.

74
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

AS has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Strong

AS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x115x173x231x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x115x173x231x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$30.19—
Current31x$30.19—
Cheap41x$39.35+30%
Fair68x$65.43+117%
Expensive102x$98.18+225%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AS's PE is in its cheap range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AS, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$50.18
Downside-16%$25.30

Calculated from the latest close: $30.19 on Nov 12.

AS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails AS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.53Q4 2023: $-0.41Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.07Q4 2024: $0.14Q1 2025: $0.37Q2 2025: $0.41Q3 2025: $0.55Q4 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $0.81Q2 2026: $0.96Forward: $1.54
Q3 2023: $-0.53Q4 2023: $-0.41Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.07Q4 2024: $0.14Q1 2025: $0.37Q2 2025: $0.41Q3 2025: $0.55Q4 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $0.81Q2 2026: $0.96Forward: $1.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.54+61%
Q2 2026$0.96+134%
Q1 2026$0.81+119%
Q4 2025$0.76+443%
Q3 2025$0.55+$0.62
Q2 2025$0.41+$0.66
Q1 2025$0.37+$0.81
Q4 2024$0.14+$0.55
Q3 2024-$0.07+$0.46

AS has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

AS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.6B
Q3 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.6B+32%
Q1 2026$1.9B+32%
Q4 2025$2.1B+28%
Q3 2025$1.8B+30%
Q2 2025$1.2B+23%
Q1 2025$1.5B+23%
Q4 2024$1.6B+24%
Q3 2024$1.4B+17%

AS has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

AS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$74MQ4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: −$96MQ3 2024: −$100MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: −$101MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: $551MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $104M
Q3 2023: −$74MQ4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: −$96MQ3 2024: −$100MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: −$101MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: $551MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$103.6M+$204.4M
Q1 2026$93.9M-23%
Q4 2025$550.7M+65%
Q3 2025-$59.2M+$40.6M
Q2 2025-$100.8M-$5.1M
Q1 2025$122.6M+128%
Q4 2024$334.7M+31%
Q3 2024-$99.8M-$26.1M

AS has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

AS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 489MQ4 2023: 489MQ1 2024: 466MQ2 2024: 505MQ3 2024: 508MQ4 2024: 502MQ1 2025: 558MQ2 2025: 561MQ3 2025: 564MQ4 2025: 563MQ1 2026: 572MQ2 2026: 589M
Q3 2023: 489MQ4 2023: 489MQ1 2024: 466MQ2 2024: 505MQ3 2024: 508MQ4 2024: 502MQ1 2025: 558MQ2 2025: 561MQ3 2025: 564MQ4 2025: 563MQ1 2026: 572MQ2 2026: 589M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+16.8M shares
1 year+5%+28.3M shares
3 years+20%+99.6M shares

AS has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

AS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 15.4xQ4 2023: 11.8xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q3 2023: 15.4xQ4 2023: 11.8xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low
Q2 20244.6xHigh

AS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.6Neutral
Stochastic37.4Neutral

AS's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricASSector medianRelative
PE31x18x75% above
PE %32522 pts below

AS is trading at 31x earnings, a 75% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.13.9% above
20 week MA$31.33.5% below
50 week MA$34.112% below
100 week MA$33.39.3% below

AS has stronger trend alignment. AS is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus RIVN above 0 of 5.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

AS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$15.0$28.4+90%
2025$28.4$38.4+35%
2026 YTD$38.4$30.2-21%

AS has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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