ARW
Arrow Electronics, Inc.
ARW has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has a slight edge over ARW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
ARW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
ARW's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ARW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.4x | $126 | -37% |
| Current | 10x | $198 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $231 | +17% |
| Expensive | 15x | $296 | +49% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ARW's PE is in its fair range at 10x.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over ARW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ARW Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for ARW to show an outlook.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
ARW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.72 | +118% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.64 | +77% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.97 | +92% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.93 | +50% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.06 | +0.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.85 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.27 | -43% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.29 | -54% |
ARW earned $19.72 per share over the past year, up 118% from the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
ARW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10.7B | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $10B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.5B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.7B | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.7B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.6B | +10% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.8B | -1.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.3B | -7.2% |
ARW's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $10.7B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4% | +1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.8% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.3% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.7% | -1.4 points |
ARW's operating margin was 4% last quarter, up 1.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ARW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over ARW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ARW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$468.3M | -$156.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $297.2M | +$521.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $667.6M | +104% |
| Q4 2025 | $172.6M | -43% |
| Q3 2025 | -$312M | -603% |
| Q2 2025 | -$224.5M | -175% |
| Q1 2025 | $326.7M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $303.9M | +16% |
ARW has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
ARW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -252K shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -526K shares |
| 3 years | -8.3% | -4.7M shares |
| 5 years | -29% | -21M shares |
| Available history | -38% | -32M shares |
ARW has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $99.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $41.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $33.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $50.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $630,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $50.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $59.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $50.8M |
ARW spent $225M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 39% from the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
ARW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
ARW's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over ARW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ARW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.5 | Neutral |
ARW's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
ARW PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ARW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 28x | 64% below |
| PE % | 42 | 35 | 7 pts above |
ARW has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ARW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $214.3 | 7.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.5 | 6.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $181.1 | 9.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $148.7 | 33% above |
| 200 week MA | $136.5 | 45% above |
ARW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 45% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over ARW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ARW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $84.5 | $97.1 | +15% |
| 2021 | $97.1 | $130.9 | +35% |
| 2022 | $130.9 | $103.9 | -21% |
| 2023 | $103.9 | $122.3 | +18% |
| 2024 | $122.3 | $114.0 | -6.8% |
| 2025 | $114.0 | $113.4 | -0.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $113.4 | $198.2 | +75% |
ARW has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.