ARW

Arrow Electronics, Inc.

75
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential91/ 100
Risk potential8/ 100

ARW has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

ARW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

ARW's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ARW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$126-37%
Current10x$198—
Fair12x$231+17%
Expensive15x$296+49%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARW's PE is in its fair range at 10x.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARW Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ARW to show an outlook.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ARW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$348.58
Downside-8%$182.57

Calculated from the latest close: $198.20 on Nov 12.

ARW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails ARW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ARW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $15.84Q1 2024: $12.77Q2 2024: $10.66Q3 2024: $9.01Q4 2024: $7.29Q1 2025: $7.27Q2 2025: $8.85Q3 2025: $9.06Q4 2025: $10.93Q2 2026: $13.97Q3 2026: $15.64Q4 2026: $19.72
Q4 2023: $15.84Q1 2024: $12.77Q2 2024: $10.66Q3 2024: $9.01Q4 2024: $7.29Q1 2025: $7.27Q2 2025: $8.85Q3 2025: $9.06Q4 2025: $10.93Q2 2026: $13.97Q3 2026: $15.64Q4 2026: $19.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$19.72+118%
Q2 2026$15.64+77%
Q1 2026$13.97+92%
Q4 2025$10.93+50%
Q3 2025$9.06+0.6%
Q2 2025$8.85-17%
Q1 2025$7.27-43%
Q4 2024$7.29-54%

ARW has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ARW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.8BQ1 2024: $6.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.3BQ1 2025: $6.8BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ2 2026: $9.5BQ3 2026: $10BQ4 2026: $10.7B
Q4 2023: $7.8BQ1 2024: $6.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.3BQ1 2025: $6.8BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ2 2026: $9.5BQ3 2026: $10BQ4 2026: $10.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.7B+39%
Q2 2026$10B+32%
Q1 2026$9.5B+39%
Q4 2025$8.7B+20%
Q3 2025$7.7B+13%
Q2 2025$7.6B+10%
Q1 2025$6.8B-1.6%
Q4 2024$7.3B-7.2%

ARW's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $10.7B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over ARW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $261MQ1 2024: $374MQ2 2024: $298MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $304MQ1 2025: $327MQ2 2025: −$225MQ3 2025: −$312MQ4 2025: $173MQ2 2026: $668MQ3 2026: $297MQ4 2026: −$468M
Q4 2023: $261MQ1 2024: $374MQ2 2024: $298MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $304MQ1 2025: $327MQ2 2025: −$225MQ3 2025: −$312MQ4 2025: $173MQ2 2026: $668MQ3 2026: $297MQ4 2026: −$468M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$468.3M-$156.3M
Q2 2026$297.2M+$521.7M
Q1 2026$667.6M+104%
Q4 2025$172.6M-43%
Q3 2025-$312M-603%
Q2 2025-$224.5M-175%
Q1 2025$326.7M-13%
Q4 2024$303.9M+16%

ARW has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ARW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52MQ4 2026: 52M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52MQ4 2026: 52M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-252K shares
1 year-1%-526K shares
3 years-8.3%-4.7M shares
5 years-29%-21M shares
Available history-38%-32M shares

ARW has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ARW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.4xQ4 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.4xQ4 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20243.2xElevated

ARW's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ARW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic20.5Neutral

ARW's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ARW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricARWSector medianRelative
PE10x28x64% below
PE %42357 pts above

ARW is trading at 10x earnings, a 64% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$214.37.5% below
20 week MA$212.56.7% below
50 week MA$181.19.4% above
100 week MA$148.733% above
200 week MA$136.545% above

ARW has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ARW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$84.5$97.1+15%
2021$97.1$130.9+35%
2022$130.9$103.9-21%
2023$103.9$122.3+18%
2024$122.3$114.0-6.8%
2025$114.0$113.4-0.5%
2026 YTD$113.4$198.2+75%

ARW has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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