ARVN

Arvinas, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score ARVN yet.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 15% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 43%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

ARVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

ARVN's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ARVN PE Valuation

ARVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ARVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ARVN's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ARVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $6.87 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARVN and NVO's risk to reward.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARVN and NVO's risk to reward.

ARVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.50Q1 2024: $-5.93Q2 2024: $-5.17Q3 2024: $-4.67Q4 2024: $-2.77Q1 2025: $-0.66Q2 2025: $-1.01Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $-3.18Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $-0.10
Q4 2023: $-6.50Q1 2024: $-5.93Q2 2024: $-5.17Q3 2024: $-4.67Q4 2024: $-2.77Q1 2025: $-0.66Q2 2025: $-1.01Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $-3.18Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $-0.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.10+$0.71
Q2 2026$0.24+$1.25
Q1 2026-$3.18-$2.52
Q4 2025-$1.14+$1.63
Q3 2025-$0.81+$3.86
Q2 2025-$1.01+$4.16
Q1 2025-$0.66+$5.27
Q4 2024-$2.77+$3.73

ARVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.10 per share over the past year, against $6.50 at its worst in late 2023.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over ARVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ARVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: −$43MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $189MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $250MQ3 2026: $500,000
Q4 2023: −$43MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $189MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $250MQ3 2026: $500,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$500K-99%
Q2 2026$249.7M+1015%
Q1 2026$15.6M-92%
Q4 2025$9.5M-84%
Q3 2025$41.9M-59%
Q2 2025$22.4M-71%
Q1 2025$188.8M+646%
Q3 2024$102.4M+196%

ARVN's revenue is shrinking: $500,000 last quarter, down 99% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over ARVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$83MQ1 2024: −$98MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: −$129MQ4 2024: −$84MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: −$97MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: −$31MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$10M
Q4 2023: −$83MQ1 2024: −$98MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: −$129MQ4 2024: −$84MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: −$97MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: −$31MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$10.2M+$49M
Q2 2026-$48.5M+$48.1M
Q1 2026-$70.5M+$18.8M
Q4 2025-$30.6M+$53.8M
Q3 2025-$59.2M+$69.5M
Q2 2025-$96.6M-295%
Q1 2025-$89.3M+$8.3M
Q4 2024-$84.4M-$1.2M

ARVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$160M over the past year, against −$330M the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over ARVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ARVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-300K shares
1 year-11%-7.8M shares
3 years+21%+11.3M shares
5 years+31%+15.6M shares
Available history+75%+28.1M shares

ARVN has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ARVN Net Leverage

ARVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ARVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.8Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

ARVN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ARVN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricARVNSector medianRelative
PE33x26x27% above

ARVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over ARVN on valuation relative to its sector.

ARVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.265.4% below
20 week MA$8.0615% below
50 week MA$9.8230% below
100 week MA$10.233% below
200 week MA$19.765% below

ARVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has the edge over ARVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ARVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.8$82.2+97%
2021$82.2$81.3-1.2%
2022$81.3$32.7-60%
2023$32.7$41.2+26%
2024$41.2$19.0-54%
2025$19.0$12.2-36%
2026 YTD$12.2$6.87-44%

ARVN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 44% so far in 2026.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over ARVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key