ARVN

Arvinas, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score ARVN yet.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

ARVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

ARVN's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ARVN PE Valuation

ARVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ARVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ARVN's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

ARVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $6.87 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARVN and LLY's risk to reward.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARVN and LLY's risk to reward.

ARVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.50Q1 2024: $-5.93Q2 2024: $-5.17Q3 2024: $-4.67Q4 2024: $-2.77Q1 2025: $-0.66Q2 2025: $-1.01Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $-3.18Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $-0.10
Q4 2023: $-6.50Q1 2024: $-5.93Q2 2024: $-5.17Q3 2024: $-4.67Q4 2024: $-2.77Q1 2025: $-0.66Q2 2025: $-1.01Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $-3.18Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $-0.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.10+$0.71
Q2 2026$0.24+$1.25
Q1 2026-$3.18-$2.52
Q4 2025-$1.14+$1.63
Q3 2025-$0.81+$3.86
Q2 2025-$1.01+$4.16
Q1 2025-$0.66+$5.27
Q4 2024-$2.77+$3.73

ARVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.10 per share over the past year, against $6.50 at its worst in late 2023.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over ARVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ARVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: −$43MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $189MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $250MQ3 2026: $500,000
Q4 2023: −$43MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $189MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $250MQ3 2026: $500,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$500K-99%
Q2 2026$249.7M+1015%
Q1 2026$15.6M-92%
Q4 2025$9.5M-84%
Q3 2025$41.9M-59%
Q2 2025$22.4M-71%
Q1 2025$188.8M+646%
Q3 2024$102.4M+196%

ARVN's revenue is shrinking: $500,000 last quarter, down 99% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over ARVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$83MQ1 2024: −$98MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: −$129MQ4 2024: −$84MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: −$97MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: −$31MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$10M
Q4 2023: −$83MQ1 2024: −$98MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: −$129MQ4 2024: −$84MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: −$97MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: −$31MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$10.2M+$49M
Q2 2026-$48.5M+$48.1M
Q1 2026-$70.5M+$18.8M
Q4 2025-$30.6M+$53.8M
Q3 2025-$59.2M+$69.5M
Q2 2025-$96.6M-295%
Q1 2025-$89.3M+$8.3M
Q4 2024-$84.4M-$1.2M

ARVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$160M over the past year, against −$330M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over ARVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ARVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-300K shares
1 year-11%-7.8M shares
3 years+21%+11.3M shares
5 years+31%+15.6M shares
Available history+75%+28.1M shares

ARVN has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

ARVN Net Leverage

ARVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ARVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.8Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

ARVN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ARVN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricARVNSector medianRelative
PE33x26x27% above

ARVN has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ARVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.265.4% below
20 week MA$8.0615% below
50 week MA$9.8230% below
100 week MA$10.233% below
200 week MA$19.765% below

ARVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over ARVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ARVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.8$82.2+97%
2021$82.2$81.3-1.2%
2022$81.3$32.7-60%
2023$32.7$41.2+26%
2024$41.2$19.0-54%
2025$19.0$12.2-36%
2026 YTD$12.2$6.87-44%

ARVN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 44% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over ARVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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