ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
ARR's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 22x earnings, about four times its usual 5.8x. Analysts expect earnings to decline.
ARR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ARR's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like ARR.
ARR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.6x | $1.93 | -84% |
| Forward | 4.3x | $11.89 | — |
| Fair | 5.7x | $3.10 | -74% |
| Expensive | 8x | $4.30 | -64% |
| Current | 22x | $11.89 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ARR's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.3x, in its cheap range.
ARR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Decline | |
| Decline | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ARR's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.
ARR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.77 | +413% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.54 | +$0.58 |
| Q2 2026 | $4.29 | +$4.61 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.49 | +$2.92 |
| Q4 2025 | $3.30 | +$3.81 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.04 | -102% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.32 | +$2.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.43 | +$0.24 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.51 | +$1.35 |
ARR has returned to profit: it earned $0.54 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
ARR Quarterly Revenue
ARR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $98.9M | +$136.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $210.2M | +742% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.6M | +9.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $35.6M | -61% |
| Q3 2025 | -$37.8M | -180% |
| Q2 2025 | $25M | -7.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $101.5M | +4.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $90.4M | +50% |
ARR's free cash flow was $456M over the past year, up 155% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like ARR.
ARR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +11% | +14.5M shares |
| 1 year | +73% | +60.8M shares |
| 3 years | +292% | +108M shares |
| 5 years | +1005% | +131M shares |
| Available history | +1122% | +133M shares |
ARR has 145M diluted shares, up 73% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.1M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $2M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $9.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $10M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
ARR spent $7M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 64% from the year before.
ARR Net Leverage
ARR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 18.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 5.6 | Oversold |
ARR's weekly RSI is 18 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
ARR PE vs Real Estate Sector
| Metric | ARR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 24x | 7.9% below |
| PE % | 88 | 23 | 65 pts above |
ARR is trading at 22x earnings, in line with the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.
ARR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.0 | 8.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.0 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $16.5 | 28% below |
| 100 week MA | $16.6 | 29% below |
| 200 week MA | $19.1 | 38% below |
ARR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 200-week average.
ARR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $89.6 | $53.6 | -40% |
| 2021 | $53.6 | $49.2 | -8.1% |
| 2022 | $49.2 | $29.5 | -40% |
| 2023 | $29.5 | $19.3 | -34% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $18.7 | -3.3% |
| 2025 | $18.7 | $17.5 | -6.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $17.5 | $11.9 | -32% |
ARR has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 32% so far in 2026.