ARQT

Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc.

66
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

ARQT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has a slight edge over ARQT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ARQT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

ARQT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ARQT PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward41x$27.53—
Cheap110x$24.27-12%
Fair116x$25.54-7.2%
Current125x$27.53—
Expensive129x$28.33+2.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARQT's PE is 125x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over ARQT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ARQT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ARQT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

ARQT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$38.48
Downside-28%$19.92

Calculated from the latest close: $27.53 on Nov 12.

ARQT trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARQT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ARQT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.78Q1 2024: $-2.79Q2 2024: $-2.05Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $-1.16Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-0.75Q3 2025: $-0.36Q4 2025: $-0.13Q1 2026: $-0.02Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-3.78Q1 2024: $-2.79Q2 2024: $-2.05Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $-1.16Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-0.75Q3 2025: $-0.36Q4 2025: $-0.13Q1 2026: $-0.02Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67+206%
Q3 2026$0.22+$0.58
Q2 2026$0.22+$0.97
Q1 2026-$0.02+$1.02
Q4 2025-$0.13+$1.03
Q3 2025-$0.36+$1.29
Q2 2025-$0.75+$1.30
Q1 2025-$1.04+$1.75
Q4 2024-$1.16+$2.62

ARQT has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ARQT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $82MQ3 2025: $99MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $105MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $144M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $82MQ3 2025: $99MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $105MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $144M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$143.9M+45%
Q2 2026$129.9M+59%
Q1 2026$105.4M+60%
Q4 2025$129.5M+81%
Q3 2025$99.2M+122%
Q2 2025$81.5M+164%
Q1 2025$65.8M+33%
Q4 2024$71.4M+428%

ARQT has the edge over OSCR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $5.1B last quarter, up 72% from the same quarter a year ago.

ARQT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$45MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$748,000Q1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: $246,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$45MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$748,000Q1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: $246,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.8M+$20.6M
Q2 2026$12.5M+4974%
Q1 2026$2.2M+$33.2M
Q4 2025$26.2M+$26.9M
Q3 2025-$1.8M+$33.1M
Q2 2025$246K+$45.4M
Q1 2025-$31M+$615K
Q4 2024-$748K+$55.5M

ARQT has the edge over OSCR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.

ARQT Total Shares

Q1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 121MQ1 2025: 126MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 127MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 137M
Q1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 121MQ1 2025: 126MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 127MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 137M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+938K shares
1 year+7.7%+9.8M shares
3 years+124%+75.7M shares
5 years+189%+89.6M shares
Available history+259%+98.7M shares

ARQT has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ARQT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 12.5x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 12.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202412.5xHigh
Q1 20240.1xVery low
Q4 20230.8xVery low
Q3 20230.7xVery low

ARQT's net debt is about 13 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

ARQT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.0Neutral
Stochastic48.9Neutral

ARQT's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ARQT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricARQTSector medianRelative
PE125x26x384% above

ARQT is trading at 125x earnings, a 384% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over ARQT on valuation relative to its sector.

ARQT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.01.6% below
20 week MA$26.73.2% above
50 week MA$25.77.2% above
100 week MA$21.031% above
200 week MA$15.084% above

ARQT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 84% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over ARQT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ARQT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.8$29.6+36%
2021$29.6$20.1-32%
2022$20.1$14.3-29%
2023$14.3$3.23-77%
2024$3.23$14.3+343%
2025$14.3$29.0+103%
2026 YTD$29.0$27.5-5%

ARQT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +343% in 2024 to −77% in 2023. It's down 5% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over ARQT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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