ARQ

Arq, Inc.

51
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

ARQ has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over ARQ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ARQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Stable
Stable

ARQ's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently stable, but its profitability is weak.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ARQ PE Valuation

ARQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 1545x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect ARQ to return to profit, with revenue growing.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ARQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$5.43
Downside-43%$1.76

Calculated from the latest close: $3.09 on Nov 12.

ARQ trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARQ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ARQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.19Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.05Q2 2025: $-0.04Q3 2025: $-0.10Q4 2025: $-1.27Q1 2026: $-1.29Q2 2026: $-1.26Q3 2026: $-1.18Forward: $0.00
Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.19Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.05Q2 2025: $-0.04Q3 2025: $-0.10Q4 2025: $-1.27Q1 2026: $-1.29Q2 2026: $-1.26Q3 2026: $-1.18Forward: $0.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.00—
Q3 2026-$1.18-$1.08
Q2 2026-$1.26-$1.22
Q1 2026-$1.29-$1.24
Q4 2025-$1.27-$1.13
Q3 2025-$0.10-243%
Q2 2025-$0.04$0.00
Q1 2025-$0.05+$0.14
Q4 2024-$0.14+$0.28

ARQ lost $1.18 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB has the edge over ARQ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$38.2M+8.9%
Q2 2026$29.9M+4.5%
Q1 2026$29.1M+6.6%
Q4 2025$29.4M+8.8%
Q3 2025$35.1M+0.9%
Q2 2025$28.6M+13%
Q1 2025$27.2M+25%
Q4 2024$27M-3.8%

ARQ's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $38M last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over ARQ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$38MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: −$676,000Q2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$38MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: −$676,000Q2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.6M+209%
Q2 2026-$4M-$2.6M
Q1 2026-$676K+$8.8M
Q4 2025-$3.5M+$34.2M
Q3 2025$3.1M+$8.9M
Q2 2025-$1.4M+$20.8M
Q1 2025-$9.5M-$443K
Q4 2024-$37.8M-$31.7M

ARQ has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

ARQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2%+847K shares
1 year+3.2%+1.3M shares
3 years+35%+11.1M shares
5 years+133%+24.6M shares
Available history+135%+24.7M shares

ARQ has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

ARQ Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -8.9xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 2.0x
Q1 2024: -8.9xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy
Q3 2024-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2024-8.9xNet Cash
Q2 2022-15.0xNet Cash

ARQ's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ARQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.3Neutral
Stochastic65.2Neutral

ARQ's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ARQ PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricARQSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

ARQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.1146% above
20 week MA$2.1544% above
50 week MA$2.6218% above
100 week MA$4.1125% below
200 week MA$4.0524% below

ARQ has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 24% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

ARQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$5.96-41%
2021$5.96$6.62+11%
2022$6.62$2.28-66%
2023$2.28$2.98+31%
2024$2.98$7.13+139%
2025$7.13$3.41-52%
2026 YTD$3.41$3.09-9.4%

ARQ's yearly returns have swung widely, from +139% in 2024 to −66% in 2022. It's down 9.4% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over ARQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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