ARMK

Aramark

60
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ARMK offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over ARMK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ARMK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Weak

ARMK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ARMK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE76x153x229x306x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE76x153x229x306x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$22.71-58%
Forward19x$53.88—
Fair33x$47.38-12%
Current38x$53.88—
Expensive55x$78.71+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARMK's PE is in its fair range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT has the edge over ARMK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ARMK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ARMK, with profitability holding steady.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

CAT has the edge over ARMK on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ARMK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$67.95
Downside-11%$48.22

Calculated from the latest close: $53.88 on Nov 12.

ARMK trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARMK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ARMK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.57Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $2.39Q2 2024: $1.32Q3 2024: $0.99Q4 2024: $1.27Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.35Q4 2025: $1.22Q1 2026: $1.19Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.82
Q3 2023: $2.57Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $2.39Q2 2024: $1.32Q3 2024: $0.99Q4 2024: $1.27Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.35Q4 2025: $1.22Q1 2026: $1.19Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.82+97%
Q2 2026$1.43+5.9%
Q1 2026$1.34+3.1%
Q4 2025$1.19-6.3%
Q3 2025$1.22+23%
Q2 2025$1.35+2.3%
Q1 2025$1.30-46%
Q4 2024$1.27-47%
Q3 2024$0.99-61%

ARMK has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

ARMK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $4.9BQ4 2023: $4.4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $4.4BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.6BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $5BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q3 2023: $4.9BQ4 2023: $4.4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $4.4BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.6BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $5BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$5.1B+9.3%
Q1 2026$4.9B+15%
Q4 2025$4.8B+6.1%
Q3 2025$5B+14%
Q2 2025$4.6B+5.7%
Q1 2025$4.3B+1.9%
Q4 2024$4.6B+3.3%
Q3 2024$4.4B-9.9%

ARMK's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $5.1B last quarter, up 9.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

ARMK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $886MQ4 2023: −$773MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $882MQ4 2024: −$707MQ1 2025: $140MQ2 2025: −$35MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$904MQ2 2026: $299MQ3 2026: $5M
Q3 2023: $886MQ4 2023: −$773MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $882MQ4 2024: −$707MQ1 2025: $140MQ2 2025: −$35MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$904MQ2 2026: $299MQ3 2026: $5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$4.8M+$39.5M
Q1 2026$299M+113%
Q4 2025-$904.4M-$197.3M
Q3 2025$1B+17%
Q2 2025-$34.7M-162%
Q1 2025$140.1M+4.7%
Q4 2024-$707M+$65.7M
Q3 2024$882.3M-0.5%

ARMK has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

ARMK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 263MQ4 2023: 264MQ1 2024: 265MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 266MQ4 2024: 269MQ1 2025: 267MQ2 2025: 265MQ4 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 266MQ2 2026: 266MQ3 2026: 269M
Q3 2023: 263MQ4 2023: 264MQ1 2024: 265MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 266MQ4 2024: 269MQ1 2025: 267MQ2 2025: 265MQ4 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 266MQ2 2026: 266MQ3 2026: 269M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+2.1M shares
1 year+1.2%+3.2M shares
3 years+2.2%+5.8M shares
5 years+4.3%+11.2M shares
Available history+6.6%+16.5M shares

ARMK has 269M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over ARMK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARMK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 4.5xQ4 2023: 4.2xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.0xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q3 2023: 4.5xQ4 2023: 4.2xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.0xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.1xHigh
Q1 20264.2xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20254.6xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.5xHigh
Q3 20244.0xHigh

ARMK's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.6 years a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over ARMK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ARMK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.0Neutral
Stochastic23.6Neutral

ARMK's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ARMK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricARMKSector medianRelative
PE38x24x57% above
PE %55583 pts below

ARMK is trading at 38x earnings, a 57% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over ARMK on valuation relative to its sector.

ARMK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$54.20.6% below
20 week MA$56.34.4% below
50 week MA$48.611% above
100 week MA$43.424% above
200 week MA$37.245% above

ARMK has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

ARMK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.4$27.2-13%
2021$27.2$26.0-4.2%
2022$26.0$30.0+15%
2023$30.0$28.1-6.2%
2024$28.1$37.4+33%
2025$37.4$37.40%
2026 YTD$37.4$53.9+44%

ARMK has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

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