ARM
Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares
ARM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ZETA
Zeta Global Holdings Corp.
ZETA has the edge over ARM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
ARM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ARM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ZETA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
ZETA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ARM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 167x | $147 | -27% |
| Fair | 224x | $197 | -1.4% |
| Current | 227x | $200 | — |
| Expensive | 361x | $317 | +59% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ARM's PE is in its fair range at 227x.
ZETA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 29x | $37.27 | — |
| Current | 248x | $37.27 | — |
| Cheap | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Fair | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Expensive | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ZETA has the edge over ARM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ARM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ARM, with profitability improving.
ZETA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ZETA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ARM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.88 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.98 | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.85 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.75 | -1.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.78 | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.75 | +159% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.76 | +850% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.60 | +233% |
ARM earned $0.88 per share over the past year, up 13% from the year before.
ZETA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | +748% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.15 | +$0.23 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.01 | +$0.14 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.10 | +$0.15 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.14 | +$0.24 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.08 | +$0.61 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.15 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.25 | +$0.80 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | +$0.82 |
ZETA has the edge over ARM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ARM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.5B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +34% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +34% |
| Q4 2024 | $983M | +19% |
ARM's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | -3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 29% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +6.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -8.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 33% | +31 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +1.5 points |
ARM has the edge over ZETA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ZETA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $492.7M | +46% |
| Q2 2026 | $442.8M | +44% |
| Q1 2026 | $396.3M | +50% |
| Q4 2025 | $394.6M | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $337.2M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $308.4M | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $264.4M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $314.7M | +50% |
ZETA has the edge over ARM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.3% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | +5.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.8% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5% | +2.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6% | +7.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7% | +10 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.1% | +12 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.2% | +17 points |
ZETA's operating margin was 9.3% last quarter, up 6.7 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
ARM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $135M | -69% |
| Q2 2026 | $705M | +296% |
| Q1 2026 | $186M | +1.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $186M | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $429M | +$476M |
| Q2 2025 | $178M | +$497M |
| Q1 2025 | $184M | -72% |
| Q4 2024 | $360M | +25% |
ARM generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5.3% from the year before.
ZETA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $88.3M | +68% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.4M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $46.7M | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $60.9M | +72% |
| Q3 2025 | $52.4M | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $39.7M | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.1M | +70% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.4M | +66% |
ZETA has the edge over ARM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ARM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +10M shares |
| 3 years | +5.2% | +53.7M shares |
ARM has the edge over ZETA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
ZETA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.1% | +8M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +42.2M shares |
| 3 years | +67% | +107M shares |
| 5 years | +417% | +213M shares |
| Available history | +712% | +232M shares |
ZETA has 265M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ARM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
ARM has more cash than debt.
ZETA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -14.1x | Net Cash |
ZETA has more cash than debt.
ARM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.0 | Oversold |
ARM's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
ZETA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.3 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 75.8 | Neutral |
ZETA's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).
ARM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ARM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 227x | 28x | 715% above |
| PE % | 51 | 23 | 28 pts above |
ARM is trading at 227x earnings, a 715% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ZETA PE vs Technology Sector
ARM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $237.8 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $257.3 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $213.9 | 6.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $176.5 | 13% above |
ZETA has stronger trend alignment. ARM is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus ZETA above 5 of 5.
ZETA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $32.6 | 15% above |
| 20 week MA | $28.6 | 30% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.6 | 65% above |
| 100 week MA | $19.7 | 89% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.7 | 123% above |
ZETA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 123% above its 200-week average.
ARM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $60.8 | $75.2 | +24% |
| 2024 | $75.2 | $129.2 | +72% |
| 2025 | $129.2 | $110.3 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $110.3 | $199.8 | +81% |
ARM has the edge over ZETA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ZETA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $8.27 | $8.40 | +1.6% |
| 2022 | $8.40 | $8.21 | -2.3% |
| 2023 | $8.21 | $8.82 | +7.4% |
| 2024 | $8.82 | $17.7 | +100% |
| 2025 | $17.7 | $20.7 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.7 | $37.3 | +80% |
ZETA has finished higher in four of the last five years. It's up 80% so far in 2026.