ARM
Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares
ARM has the edge over UBER overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
UBER
Uber Technologies, Inc.
UBER offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ARM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ARM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
UBER Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
UBER's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
ARM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 167x | $147 | -27% |
| Fair | 224x | $197 | -1.4% |
| Current | 227x | $200 | — |
| Expensive | 361x | $317 | +59% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ARM has the edge over UBER in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
UBER PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $26.01 | -62% |
| Fair | 17x | $29.70 | -57% |
| Forward | 17x | $69.12 | — |
| Current | 40x | $69.12 | — |
| Expensive | 93x | $160 | +131% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UBER's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
ARM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ARM, with profitability improving.
UBER Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UBER, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ARM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.88 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.98 | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.85 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.75 | -1.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.78 | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.75 | +159% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.76 | +850% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.60 | +233% |
ARM has the edge over UBER on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UBER Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.07 | +138% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.71 | -78% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.57 | -22% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.03 | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.73 | +3.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.78 | +285% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.87 | +538% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.71 | +806% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.56 | +424% |
UBER's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.71 over the past year, against $7.78 in late 2025.
ARM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.5B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +34% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +34% |
| Q4 2024 | $983M | +19% |
ARM has the edge over UBER on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | -3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 29% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +6.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -8.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 33% | +31 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +1.5 points |
ARM has the edge over UBER on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
UBER Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $14.8B | +9.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.2B | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.4B | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.7B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.5B | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $12B | +20% |
UBER's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $14.8B last quarter, up 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +5.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.4% | -0.1 points |
UBER's operating margin was 9.8% last quarter, up 1.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ARM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $135M | -69% |
| Q2 2026 | $705M | +296% |
| Q1 2026 | $186M | +1.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $186M | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $429M | +$476M |
| Q2 2025 | $178M | +$497M |
| Q1 2025 | $184M | -72% |
| Q4 2024 | $360M | +25% |
ARM generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5.3% from the year before.
UBER Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.5B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | +1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B | +5.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5B | +44% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.3B | +66% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +122% |
UBER has the edge over ARM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ARM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +10M shares |
| 3 years | +5.2% | +53.7M shares |
ARM has 1.1B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
UBER Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +99K shares |
| 1 year | -3.5% | -74.1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -58.2M shares |
| 5 years | +8% | +151M shares |
| Available history | +19% | +326M shares |
UBER has the edge over ARM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $750M |
| Q2 2026 | $518M |
| Q1 2026 | $3B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $555M |
UBER spent $6.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
ARM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
ARM has more cash than debt.
UBER Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
UBER's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ARM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.0 | Oversold |
ARM's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
UBER Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.7 | Oversold |
UBER's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
ARM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ARM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 227x | 28x | 715% above |
| PE % | 51 | 23 | 28 pts above |
ARM is trading at 227x earnings, a 715% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
UBER PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | UBER | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 45% above |
| PE % | 68 | 35 | 33 pts above |
UBER has the edge over ARM on valuation relative to its sector.
ARM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $237.8 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $257.3 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $213.9 | 6.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $176.5 | 13% above |
UBER has stronger trend alignment. ARM is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus UBER above 2 of 5.
UBER Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $68.7 | 0.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $71.7 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $74.4 | 7.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $78.9 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $67.9 | 1.8% above |
UBER's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 1.8% above its 200-week average.
ARM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $60.8 | $75.2 | +24% |
| 2024 | $75.2 | $129.2 | +72% |
| 2025 | $129.2 | $110.3 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $110.3 | $199.8 | +81% |
ARM has the edge over UBER on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
UBER Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.2 | $52.9 | +75% |
| 2021 | $52.9 | $43.9 | -17% |
| 2022 | $43.9 | $24.6 | -44% |
| 2023 | $24.6 | $61.6 | +150% |
| 2024 | $61.6 | $61.1 | -0.7% |
| 2025 | $61.1 | $81.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $81.3 | $69.1 | -15% |
UBER's yearly returns have swung widely, from +150% in 2023 to −44% in 2022. It's down 15% so far in 2026.