ARM

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

67
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

ARM has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ARM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

ARM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ARM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x321x481x642x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x321x481x642x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap167x$147-27%
Fair224x$197-1.4%
Current227x$200—
Expensive361x$317+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARM's PE is in its fair range at 227x.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ARM, with profitability improving.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ARM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$358.92
Downside-28%$143.85

Calculated from the latest close: $199.78 on Nov 12.

ARM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails ARM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ARM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.88+13%
Q2 2026$0.98+48%
Q1 2026$0.85+13%
Q4 2025$0.75-1.3%
Q3 2025$0.78+30%
Q1 2025$0.75+159%
Q4 2024$0.76+850%
Q3 2024$0.60+233%

ARM has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

ARM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $928MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $844MQ4 2024: $983MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $928MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $844MQ4 2024: $983MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+27%
Q2 2026$1.3B+22%
Q1 2026$1.5B+20%
Q4 2025$1.2B+26%
Q3 2025$1.1B+34%
Q2 2025$1.1B+12%
Q1 2025$1.2B+34%
Q4 2024$983M+19%

ARM's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over ARM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ARM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: −$319MQ3 2024: −$47MQ4 2024: $360MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $429MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $705MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: −$319MQ3 2024: −$47MQ4 2024: $360MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $429MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $705MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$135M-69%
Q2 2026$705M+296%
Q1 2026$186M+1.1%
Q4 2025$186M-48%
Q3 2025$429M+$476M
Q2 2025$178M+$497M
Q1 2025$184M-72%
Q4 2024$360M+25%

ARM has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

ARM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year+0.9%+10M shares
3 years+5.2%+53.7M shares

ARM has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

ARM Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2023-1.6xNet Cash

ARM has more cash than debt.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ARM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

ARM's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ARM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricARMSector medianRelative
PE227x28x715% above
PE %512328 pts above

ARM is trading at 227x earnings, a 715% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$237.816% below
20 week MA$257.322% below
50 week MA$213.96.6% below
100 week MA$176.513% above

ARM has stronger trend alignment. ARM is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus LCID above 0 of 5.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

ARM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$60.8$75.2+24%
2024$75.2$129.2+72%
2025$129.2$110.3-15%
2026 YTD$110.3$199.8+81%

ARM has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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