ARM

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

67
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

ARM's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 24% and it turned 22% of its revenue into free cash flow, though its operating margin fell 3 points to 17%. At 227x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

ARM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

ARM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

ARM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x321x481x642x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x321x481x642x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap167x$147-27%
Fair224x$197-1.4%
Current227x$200—
Expensive361x$317+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARM's PE is in its fair range at 227x.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

ARM has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ARM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$358.92
Downside-28%$143.85

Calculated from the latest close: $199.78 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARM and COIN's risk to reward.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARM and COIN's risk to reward.

ARM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.88+13%
Q2 2026$0.98+48%
Q1 2026$0.85+13%
Q4 2025$0.75-1.3%
Q3 2025$0.78+30%
Q1 2025$0.75+159%
Q4 2024$0.76+850%
Q3 2024$0.60+233%

ARM has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ARM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $928MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $844MQ4 2024: $983MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $928MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $844MQ4 2024: $983MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+27%
Q2 2026$1.3B+22%
Q1 2026$1.5B+20%
Q4 2025$1.2B+26%
Q3 2025$1.1B+34%
Q2 2025$1.1B+12%
Q1 2025$1.2B+34%
Q4 2024$983M+19%

ARM has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

ARM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: −$319MQ3 2024: −$47MQ4 2024: $360MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $429MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $705MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: −$319MQ3 2024: −$47MQ4 2024: $360MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $429MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $705MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$135M-69%
Q2 2026$705M+296%
Q1 2026$186M+1.1%
Q4 2025$186M-48%
Q3 2025$429M+$476M
Q2 2025$178M+$497M
Q1 2025$184M-72%
Q4 2024$360M+25%

ARM has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

ARM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year+0.9%+10M shares
3 years+5.2%+53.7M shares

ARM has 1.1B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over ARM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARM Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2023-1.6xNet Cash

ARM has more cash than debt.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

ARM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

ARM's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ARM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricARMSector medianRelative
PE227x28x715% above
PE %512328 pts above

ARM is trading at 227x earnings, a 715% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$237.816% below
20 week MA$257.322% below
50 week MA$213.96.6% below
100 week MA$176.513% above

ARM has stronger trend alignment. ARM is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus COIN above 0 of 5.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

ARM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$60.8$75.2+24%
2024$75.2$129.2+72%
2025$129.2$110.3-15%
2026 YTD$110.3$199.8+81%

ARM has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

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