ARM

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

67
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

ARM has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ARM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

ARM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

ARM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x321x481x642x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x321x481x642x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap167x$147-27%
Fair224x$197-1.4%
Current227x$200—
Expensive361x$317+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARM has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

ARM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ARM, with profitability improving.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

ARM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$358.92
Downside-28%$143.85

Calculated from the latest close: $199.78 on Nov 12.

ARM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails ARM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ARM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.88+13%
Q2 2026$0.98+48%
Q1 2026$0.85+13%
Q4 2025$0.75-1.3%
Q3 2025$0.78+30%
Q1 2025$0.75+159%
Q4 2024$0.76+850%
Q3 2024$0.60+233%

ARM has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

ARM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $928MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $844MQ4 2024: $983MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $928MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $844MQ4 2024: $983MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+27%
Q2 2026$1.3B+22%
Q1 2026$1.5B+20%
Q4 2025$1.2B+26%
Q3 2025$1.1B+34%
Q2 2025$1.1B+12%
Q1 2025$1.2B+34%
Q4 2024$983M+19%

ARM has the edge over BLK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $7.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

ARM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: −$319MQ3 2024: −$47MQ4 2024: $360MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $429MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $705MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: −$319MQ3 2024: −$47MQ4 2024: $360MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $429MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $705MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$135M-69%
Q2 2026$705M+296%
Q1 2026$186M+1.1%
Q4 2025$186M-48%
Q3 2025$429M+$476M
Q2 2025$178M+$497M
Q1 2025$184M-72%
Q4 2024$360M+25%

ARM generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5.3% from the year before.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

ARM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year+0.9%+10M shares
3 years+5.2%+53.7M shares

ARM has 1.1B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over ARM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARM Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2023-1.6xNet Cash

ARM has more cash than debt.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

ARM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

ARM's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

ARM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricARMSector medianRelative
PE227x28x715% above
PE %512328 pts above

ARM is trading at 227x earnings, a 715% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK has the edge over ARM on valuation relative to its sector.

ARM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$237.816% below
20 week MA$257.322% below
50 week MA$213.96.6% below
100 week MA$176.513% above

BLK has stronger trend alignment. ARM is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus BLK above 5 of 5.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

ARM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$60.8$75.2+24%
2024$75.2$129.2+72%
2025$129.2$110.3-15%
2026 YTD$110.3$199.8+81%

ARM has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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