ARM

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

67
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

ARM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AVGO

Broadcom Inc.

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

AVGO has the edge over ARM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

ARM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

ARM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AVGO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AVGO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ARM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x321x481x642x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x321x481x642x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap167x$147-27%
Fair224x$197-1.4%
Current227x$200—
Expensive361x$317+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARM has the edge over AVGO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AVGO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE52x103x155x207x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE52x103x155x207x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$364—
Cheap27x$211-42%
Current46x$364—
Fair49x$384+5.3%
Expensive86x$671+84%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVGO's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ARM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

ARM has the edge over AVGO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AVGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AVGO, with profitability holding steady.

ARM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$358.92
Downside-28%$143.85

Calculated from the latest close: $199.78 on Nov 12.

ARM trails AVGO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AVGO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$709.93
Downside-17%$302.18

Calculated from the latest close: $364.36 on Nov 12.

AVGO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ARM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.88+13%
Q2 2026$0.98+48%
Q1 2026$0.85+13%
Q4 2025$0.75-1.3%
Q3 2025$0.78+30%
Q1 2025$0.75+159%
Q4 2024$0.76+850%
Q3 2024$0.60+233%

ARM earned $0.88 per share over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

AVGO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.30Q1 2024: $2.70Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.67Q3 2025: $3.92Q4 2025: $4.77Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $7.84Forward: $19.23
Q4 2023: $3.30Q1 2024: $2.70Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.67Q3 2025: $3.92Q4 2025: $4.77Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $7.84Forward: $19.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.23+145%
Q3 2026$7.84+100%
Q2 2026$6.01+125%
Q1 2026$5.13+145%
Q4 2025$4.77+288%
Q3 2025$3.92+241%
Q2 2025$2.67+15%
Q1 2025$2.09-23%
Q4 2024$1.23-63%

AVGO has the edge over ARM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $928MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $844MQ4 2024: $983MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $928MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $844MQ4 2024: $983MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+27%
Q2 2026$1.3B+22%
Q1 2026$1.5B+20%
Q4 2025$1.2B+26%
Q3 2025$1.1B+34%
Q2 2025$1.1B+12%
Q1 2025$1.2B+34%
Q4 2024$983M+19%

ARM's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

AVGO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.3BQ1 2024: $12BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $13.1BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.9BQ2 2025: $15BQ3 2025: $16BQ4 2025: $18BQ1 2026: $19.3BQ2 2026: $22.2BQ3 2026: $29.6B
Q4 2023: $9.3BQ1 2024: $12BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $13.1BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.9BQ2 2025: $15BQ3 2025: $16BQ4 2025: $18BQ1 2026: $19.3BQ2 2026: $22.2BQ3 2026: $29.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$29.6B+86%
Q2 2026$22.2B+48%
Q1 2026$19.3B+29%
Q4 2025$18B+28%
Q3 2025$16B+22%
Q2 2025$15B+20%
Q1 2025$14.9B+25%
Q4 2024$14.1B+51%

AVGO has the edge over ARM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ARM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: −$319MQ3 2024: −$47MQ4 2024: $360MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $429MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $705MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: −$319MQ3 2024: −$47MQ4 2024: $360MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $429MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $705MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$135M-69%
Q2 2026$705M+296%
Q1 2026$186M+1.1%
Q4 2025$186M-48%
Q3 2025$429M+$476M
Q2 2025$178M+$497M
Q1 2025$184M-72%
Q4 2024$360M+25%

ARM generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5.3% from the year before.

AVGO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.4BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.4BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $13.7B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.4BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.4BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $13.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.7B+95%
Q2 2026$10.3B+60%
Q1 2026$8B+33%
Q4 2025$7.5B+36%
Q3 2025$7B+47%
Q2 2025$6.4B+44%
Q1 2025$6B+28%
Q4 2024$5.5B+16%

AVGO has the edge over ARM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year+0.9%+10M shares
3 years+5.2%+53.7M shares

ARM has 1.1B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

AVGO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.3BQ1 2024: 4.7BQ2 2024: 4.8BQ3 2024: 4.7BQ4 2024: 4.8BQ1 2025: 4.8BQ2 2025: 4.8BQ3 2025: 4.9BQ4 2025: 4.9BQ1 2026: 4.9BQ2 2026: 4.9BQ3 2026: 4.9B
Q4 2023: 4.3BQ1 2024: 4.7BQ2 2024: 4.8BQ3 2024: 4.7BQ4 2024: 4.8BQ1 2025: 4.8BQ2 2025: 4.8BQ3 2025: 4.9BQ4 2025: 4.9BQ1 2026: 4.9BQ2 2026: 4.9BQ3 2026: 4.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+11M shares
1 year+0.6%+27M shares
3 years+14%+617M shares
5 years+14%+597M shares
Available history+17%+697M shares

AVGO has the edge over ARM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARM Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2023-1.6xNet Cash

ARM has more cash than debt.

AVGO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20244.1xHigh

AVGO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

ARM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

ARM's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

AVGO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic20.3Neutral

AVGO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

ARM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricARMSector medianRelative
PE227x28x715% above
PE %512328 pts above

ARM is trading at 227x earnings, a 715% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AVGO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAVGOSector medianRelative
PE46x28x67% above
PE %473512 pts above

AVGO has the edge over ARM on valuation relative to its sector.

ARM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$237.816% below
20 week MA$257.322% below
50 week MA$213.96.6% below
100 week MA$176.513% above

AVGO has stronger trend alignment. ARM is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus AVGO above 5 of 5.

AVGO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$338.07.8% above
20 week MA$362.10.6% above
50 week MA$363.00.4% above
100 week MA$313.816% above
200 week MA$214.370% above

AVGO is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 70% above its 200-week average.

ARM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$60.8$75.2+24%
2024$75.2$129.2+72%
2025$129.2$110.3-15%
2026 YTD$110.3$199.8+81%

ARM has the edge over AVGO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

AVGO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.7$43.2+36%
2021$43.2$66.5+54%
2022$66.5$55.2-17%
2023$55.2$111.6+102%
2024$111.6$241.8+117%
2025$241.8$352.1+46%
2026 YTD$352.1$364.4+3.5%

AVGO has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 3.5% so far in 2026.

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