ARES

Ares Management Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score ARES yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ARES Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Stable
N/A
N/A

ARES's profitability is currently stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ARES.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

ARES PE Valuation

ARES has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

ARES Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ARES, but weaker profitability.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over ARES on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ARES Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $133.29 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARES and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARES and MS's risk to reward.

ARES Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $2.26Q2 2024: $1.95Q3 2024: $2.20Q4 2024: $2.04Forward: $6.53
Q1 2024: $2.26Q2 2024: $1.95Q3 2024: $2.20Q4 2024: $2.04Forward: $6.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.53+220%
Q4 2024$2.04-16%
Q3 2024$2.20+1.4%
Q2 2024$1.95+18%
Q1 2024$2.26+102%
Q4 2023$2.42+178%
Q3 2023$2.17+136%
Q2 2023$1.65+3.8%
Q1 2023$1.12-46%

MS has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 16% for ARES versus MS up 29%.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

ARES Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $736MQ2 2024: $875MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $1.3B
Q1 2024: $736MQ2 2024: $875MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2024$1.2B+11%
Q3 2024$842M+24%
Q2 2024$874.9M+11%
Q1 2024$735.8M+13%
Q4 2023$1.1B+0.7%
Q3 2023$677.7M+12%
Q2 2023$785.1M+28%
Q1 2023$653.7M+18%

ARES has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 71% for ARES versus up 12% for MS.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

ARES Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: $710MQ2 2024: $432MQ3 2024: $841MQ4 2024: $808MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: −$86M
Q1 2024: $710MQ2 2024: $432MQ3 2024: $841MQ4 2024: $808MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: −$86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2024$807.6M+$1.4B
Q3 2024$841.3M+164%
Q2 2024$432.2M+$1.1B
Q1 2024$710M+0.3%
Q4 2023-$560.1M-$369.5M
Q3 2023$318.3M+1194%
Q2 2023-$699.1M+$93.3M
Q1 2023$707.6M+216%

ARES has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 484% versus its history, compared with MS at down 492%.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ARES Total Shares

Q1 2024: 310MQ2 2024: 313MQ3 2024: 313MQ4 2024: 313MQ3 2026: 360M
Q1 2024: 310MQ2 2024: 313MQ3 2024: 313MQ4 2024: 313MQ3 2026: 360M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+15%+47.1M shares
1 year+16%+50.6M shares
3 years+23%+66.9M shares
5 years+46%+113M shares

ARES has 360M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over ARES on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARES Net Leverage

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ARES Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.0Neutral
Stochastic54.4Neutral

ARES's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ARES PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricARESSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

ARES has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ARES Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$123.38.1% above
20 week MA$128.33.9% above
50 week MA$130.72% above
100 week MA$148.910% below
200 week MA$134.30.7% below

ARES has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 0.7% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

ARES Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.8$49.1+41%
2021$49.1$81.4+66%
2022$81.4$67.7-17%
2023$67.7$118.9+76%
2024$118.9$179.5+51%
2025$179.5$168.7-6%
2026 YTD$168.7$133.3-21%

ARES has finished higher in four of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over ARES on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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