ARDX

Ardelyx, Inc.

53
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

ARDX lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

ARDX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

ARDX's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ARDX PE Valuation

ARDX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 253x next year's earnings.

ARDX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ARDX to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ARDX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$4.59
Downside-31%$2.14

Calculated from the latest close: $3.12 on Nov 12.

ARDX's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +47% against −31%.

ARDX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.30Q1 2024: $-0.28Q2 2024: $-0.27Q3 2024: $-0.30Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.24Q3 2025: $-0.24Q4 2025: $-0.26Q1 2026: $-0.24Q2 2026: $-0.23Q3 2026: $-0.23Forward: $0.01
Q4 2023: $-0.30Q1 2024: $-0.28Q2 2024: $-0.27Q3 2024: $-0.30Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.24Q3 2025: $-0.24Q4 2025: $-0.26Q1 2026: $-0.24Q2 2026: $-0.23Q3 2026: $-0.23Forward: $0.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.01—
Q3 2026-$0.23+$0.01
Q2 2026-$0.23+$0.01
Q1 2026-$0.24-$0.01
Q4 2025-$0.26-$0.09
Q3 2025-$0.24+$0.06
Q2 2025-$0.24+$0.03
Q1 2025-$0.23+$0.05
Q4 2024-$0.17+$0.13

ARDX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.23 per share over the past year, against $1.13 at its worst in mid-2022.

ARDX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $125MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $121MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $125MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $121MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M+16%
Q2 2026$120.9M+24%
Q1 2026$94.5M+27%
Q4 2025$125.2M+7.8%
Q3 2025$110.3M+12%
Q2 2025$97.7M+33%
Q1 2025$74.1M+61%
Q4 2024$116.1M+238%

ARDX's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $128M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

ARDX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $364,000Q4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$39MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $209,000Q4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: −$32MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $364,000Q4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$39MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $209,000Q4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: −$32MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.2M+939%
Q2 2026-$6.4M+$19.6M
Q1 2026-$32.3M+$6.5M
Q4 2025$20.6M+123%
Q3 2025$209K-43%
Q2 2025-$26M-$6.5M
Q1 2025-$38.8M-$2.9M
Q4 2024$9.2M+$18M

ARDX has burned cash in most quarters: −$16M over the past year, against −$55M the year before.

ARDX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 219MQ1 2024: 233MQ2 2024: 235MQ3 2024: 236MQ4 2024: 235MQ1 2025: 239MQ2 2025: 240MQ3 2025: 242MQ4 2025: 241MQ1 2026: 246MQ2 2026: 248MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 219MQ1 2024: 233MQ2 2024: 235MQ3 2024: 236MQ4 2024: 235MQ1 2025: 239MQ2 2025: 240MQ3 2025: 242MQ4 2025: 241MQ1 2026: 246MQ2 2026: 248MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+1.9M shares
1 year+3.3%+8.1M shares
3 years+9.7%+22.1M shares
5 years-30%-108M shares

ARDX has 250M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.

ARDX Net Leverage

ARDX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ARDX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.4Neutral
Stochastic9.8Oversold

ARDX's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ARDX PE vs Healthcare Sector

ARDX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARDX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.151% below
20 week MA$3.8820% below
50 week MA$5.3241% below
100 week MA$5.1740% below
200 week MA$5.3041% below

ARDX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 41% below its 200-week average.

ARDX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.86$1.72-7.5%
2021$1.72$1.18-31%
2022$1.18$2.41+104%
2023$2.41$6.20+157%
2024$6.20$5.21-16%
2025$5.21$5.74+10%
2026 YTD$5.74$3.12-46%

ARDX has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

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