ARDT

Ardent Health Partners, LLC

52
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ARDT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over ARDT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ARDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

ARDT's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

ARDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$6.75-62%
Fair9x$9.25-48%
Forward15x$17.68—
Current17x$17.68—
Expensive20x$20.97+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARDT's PE is in its expensive range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over ARDT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ARDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect ARDT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ARDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$24.03
Downside-19%$14.28

Calculated from the latest close: $17.68 on Nov 12.

ARDT trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with more potential downside for the same potential upside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARDT, with less potential downside for the same potential upside.

ARDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.67Q4 2024: $1.55Q1 2025: $1.65Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $0.55Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $1.21
Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.67Q4 2024: $1.55Q1 2025: $1.65Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $0.55Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $1.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.21+17%
Q3 2026$1.03-30%
Q2 2026$0.55-70%
Q1 2026$0.95-42%
Q4 2025$0.96-38%
Q3 2025$1.47+119%
Q2 2025$1.83+190%
Q1 2025$1.65+217%
Q4 2024$1.55+343%

ARDT has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

ARDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+3.1%
Q2 2026$1.6B-1.4%
Q1 2026$1.6B+7%
Q4 2025$1.6B-0.1%
Q3 2025$1.6B+8.8%
Q2 2025$1.6B+12%
Q1 2025$1.5B+4%
Q4 2024$1.6B+19%

ARDT's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over ARDT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $117MQ3 2025: $154MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: −$60MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $122M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $117MQ3 2025: $154MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: −$60MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $122M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$121.9M-21%
Q2 2026$196.7M+67%
Q1 2026-$60.2M-$35.4M
Q4 2025$223.4M+87%
Q3 2025$154.4M+72%
Q1 2025-$24.8M+$13.7M
Q4 2024$119.6M+1090%
Q3 2024$89.7M+41%

ARDT generated $482M in free cash flow over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over ARDT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 143MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 138MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 143MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 138MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.3M shares
1 year+0.3%+478K shares
3 years+0.5%+741K shares
5 years+86%+65.7M shares

ARDT has 142M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over ARDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARDT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.5xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 5.5xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20261.0xHealthy
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20245.1xHigh
Q4 20235.5xHigh

ARDT has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ARDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI82.1Overbought
Stochastic88.7Overbought

ARDT's weekly RSI is 82 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

ARDT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricARDTSector medianRelative
PE17x26x34% below
PE %755421 pts above

ARDT has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ARDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.937% above
20 week MA$11.652% above
50 week MA$10.174% above
100 week MA$11.850% above

ARDT has stronger trend alignment. ARDT is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus UNH above 4 of 5.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

ARDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$17.3$16.9-2.3%
2025$16.9$9.22-45%
2026 YTD$9.22$17.7+92%

ARDT has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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