ARDT

Ardent Health Partners, LLC

52
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ARDT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over ARDT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

ARDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

ARDT's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ARDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$6.75-62%
Fair9x$9.25-48%
Forward15x$17.68—
Current17x$17.68—
Expensive20x$20.97+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARDT's PE is in its expensive range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over ARDT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ARDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect ARDT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over ARDT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ARDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$24.03
Downside-19%$14.28

Calculated from the latest close: $17.68 on Nov 12.

ARDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails ARDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ARDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.67Q4 2024: $1.55Q1 2025: $1.65Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $0.55Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $1.21
Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.67Q4 2024: $1.55Q1 2025: $1.65Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $0.55Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $1.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.21+17%
Q3 2026$1.03-30%
Q2 2026$0.55-70%
Q1 2026$0.95-42%
Q4 2025$0.96-38%
Q3 2025$1.47+119%
Q2 2025$1.83+190%
Q1 2025$1.65+217%
Q4 2024$1.55+343%

ARDT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.03 over the past year, against $1.83 in mid-2025.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ARDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+3.1%
Q2 2026$1.6B-1.4%
Q1 2026$1.6B+7%
Q4 2025$1.6B-0.1%
Q3 2025$1.6B+8.8%
Q2 2025$1.6B+12%
Q1 2025$1.5B+4%
Q4 2024$1.6B+19%

ARDT's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over ARDT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $117MQ3 2025: $154MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: −$60MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $122M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $117MQ3 2025: $154MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: −$60MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $122M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$121.9M-21%
Q2 2026$196.7M+67%
Q1 2026-$60.2M-$35.4M
Q4 2025$223.4M+87%
Q3 2025$154.4M+72%
Q1 2025-$24.8M+$13.7M
Q4 2024$119.6M+1090%
Q3 2024$89.7M+41%

ARDT generated $482M in free cash flow over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over ARDT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 143MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 138MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 143MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 138MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.3M shares
1 year+0.3%+478K shares
3 years+0.5%+741K shares
5 years+86%+65.7M shares

ARDT has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ARDT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.5xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 5.5xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20261.0xHealthy
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20245.1xHigh
Q4 20235.5xHigh

ARDT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over ARDT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ARDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI82.1Overbought
Stochastic88.7Overbought

ARDT's weekly RSI is 82 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ARDT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricARDTSector medianRelative
PE17x26x34% below
PE %755421 pts above

ARDT is trading at 17x earnings, a 34% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over ARDT on valuation relative to its sector.

ARDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.937% above
20 week MA$11.652% above
50 week MA$10.174% above
100 week MA$11.850% above

OSCR has stronger trend alignment. ARDT is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus OSCR above 5 of 5.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 106% above its 200-week average.

ARDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$17.3$16.9-2.3%
2025$16.9$9.22-45%
2026 YTD$9.22$17.7+92%

ARDT has finished every year since 2024 lower, and it's up 92% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over ARDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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