ARDT
Ardent Health Partners, LLC
ARDT has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
NVO
Novo Nordisk A/S
NVO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ARDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ARDT's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
NVO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
ARDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $6.75 | -62% |
| Fair | 9x | $9.25 | -48% |
| Forward | 15x | $17.68 | — |
| Current | 17x | $17.68 | — |
| Expensive | 20x | $20.97 | +19% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ARDT's PE is in its expensive range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.
NVO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 10x | $40.65 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $53.56 | +32% |
| Fair | 27x | $103 | +154% |
| Expensive | 39x | $152 | +273% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVO has the edge over ARDT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ARDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect ARDT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
NVO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ARDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.21 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.03 | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.55 | -70% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.95 | -42% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.96 | -38% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.47 | +119% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.83 | +190% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.65 | +217% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.55 | +343% |
ARDT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.03 over the past year, against $1.83 in mid-2025.
NVO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.07 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.42 | +1.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.47 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.71 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.49 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.36 | +21% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.15 | +27% |
NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.
ARDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +3.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | -1.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.6B | -0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6B | +19% |
ARDT's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5% | +5.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7% | -4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.7% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.8% | -4.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1% | -4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.4% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -2.4 points |
ARDT's operating margin was 5% last quarter, up 5.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $11.7B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.4B | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.8B | -7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.1B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.7B | +30% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.6B | +21% |
NVO has the edge over ARDT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 62% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | -16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 50% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 43% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 47% | +1.6 points |
NVO has the edge over ARDT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ARDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $121.9M | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $196.7M | +67% |
| Q1 2026 | -$60.2M | -$35.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $223.4M | +87% |
| Q3 2025 | $154.4M | +72% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24.8M | +$13.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $119.6M | +1090% |
| Q3 2024 | $89.7M | +41% |
ARDT generated $482M in free cash flow over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
NVO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.3B | +73% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.4B | -$4.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $4.6B | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +89% |
| Q4 2024 | -$632.6M | +$390.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $4.7B | +3.3% |
NVO has the edge over ARDT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ARDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +478K shares |
| 3 years | +0.5% | +741K shares |
| 5 years | +86% | +65.7M shares |
ARDT has 142M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11M |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2018 | — |
| Q3 2018 | — |
NVO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -12.9M shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -1.5% | -66.8M shares |
| 5 years | -3.8% | -177M shares |
| Available history | -6.5% | -311M shares |
NVO has the edge over ARDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $520M |
| Q1 2026 | $356.7M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $206.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
| Q3 2024 | $357.4M |
NVO spent $877M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 48% from the year before.
ARDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 5.5x | High |
ARDT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NVO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
NVO has the edge over ARDT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ARDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 82.1 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 88.7 | Overbought |
ARDT's weekly RSI is 82 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).
NVO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.0 | Neutral |
NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
ARDT PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | ARDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 26x | 34% below |
| PE % | 75 | 54 | 21 pts above |
ARDT is trading at 17x earnings, a 34% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | NVO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 26x | 60% below |
| PE % | 6 | 29 | 23 pts below |
NVO has the edge over ARDT on valuation relative to its sector.
ARDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.9 | 37% above |
| 20 week MA | $11.6 | 52% above |
| 50 week MA | $10.1 | 74% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.8 | 50% above |
ARDT has stronger trend alignment. ARDT is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus NVO above 1 of 5.
NVO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.2 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $43.9 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.3 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.3 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $80.7 | 50% below |
NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.
ARDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $17.3 | $16.9 | -2.3% |
| 2025 | $16.9 | $9.22 | -45% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.22 | $17.7 | +92% |
ARDT has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NVO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.1 | $34.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $34.7 | $54.2 | +56% |
| 2022 | $54.2 | $67.0 | +24% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $103.5 | +54% |
| 2024 | $103.5 | $87.4 | -16% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $52.4 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $52.4 | $40.7 | -22% |
NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.