ARDT

Ardent Health Partners, LLC

52
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ARDT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over ARDT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

ARDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

ARDT's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ARDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$6.75-62%
Fair9x$9.25-48%
Forward15x$17.68—
Current17x$17.68—
Expensive20x$20.97+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARDT has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ARDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect ARDT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over ARDT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ARDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$24.03
Downside-19%$14.28

Calculated from the latest close: $17.68 on Nov 12.

ARDT trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARDT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ARDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.67Q4 2024: $1.55Q1 2025: $1.65Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $0.55Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $1.21
Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.67Q4 2024: $1.55Q1 2025: $1.65Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $0.55Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $1.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.21+17%
Q3 2026$1.03-30%
Q2 2026$0.55-70%
Q1 2026$0.95-42%
Q4 2025$0.96-38%
Q3 2025$1.47+119%
Q2 2025$1.83+190%
Q1 2025$1.65+217%
Q4 2024$1.55+343%

ARDT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.03 over the past year, against $1.83 in mid-2025.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over ARDT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+3.1%
Q2 2026$1.6B-1.4%
Q1 2026$1.6B+7%
Q4 2025$1.6B-0.1%
Q3 2025$1.6B+8.8%
Q2 2025$1.6B+12%
Q1 2025$1.5B+4%
Q4 2024$1.6B+19%

ARDT's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over ARDT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $117MQ3 2025: $154MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: −$60MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $122M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $117MQ3 2025: $154MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: −$60MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $122M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$121.9M-21%
Q2 2026$196.7M+67%
Q1 2026-$60.2M-$35.4M
Q4 2025$223.4M+87%
Q3 2025$154.4M+72%
Q1 2025-$24.8M+$13.7M
Q4 2024$119.6M+1090%
Q3 2024$89.7M+41%

ARDT generated $482M in free cash flow over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over ARDT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 143MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 138MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 143MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 138MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.3M shares
1 year+0.3%+478K shares
3 years+0.5%+741K shares
5 years+86%+65.7M shares

ARDT has 142M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over ARDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARDT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.5xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 5.5xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20261.0xHealthy
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20245.1xHigh
Q4 20235.5xHigh

ARDT has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ARDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI82.1Overbought
Stochastic88.7Overbought

ARDT's weekly RSI is 82 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ARDT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricARDTSector medianRelative
PE17x26x34% below
PE %755421 pts above

ARDT has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ARDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.937% above
20 week MA$11.652% above
50 week MA$10.174% above
100 week MA$11.850% above

LLY has stronger trend alignment. ARDT is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus LLY above 5 of 5.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

ARDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$17.3$16.9-2.3%
2025$16.9$9.22-45%
2026 YTD$9.22$17.7+92%

ARDT has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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