ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
ARCO has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
F
Ford Motor Company
F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ARCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
ARCO's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ARCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 5.8x | $7.00 | — |
| Cheap | 7.8x | $9.45 | +35% |
| Fair | 11x | $13.88 | +98% |
| Expensive | 19x | $23.55 | +236% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ARCO's PE is in its cheap range at 5.8x.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ARCO Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for ARCO to show an outlook.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ARCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.21 | +92% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.11 | +71% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.01 | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.17 | +67% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.63 | -44% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.65 | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.72 | -38% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.70 | -40% |
ARCO has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
ARCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | -2.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.1B | +0.8% |
ARCO has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 5.9% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.7% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.5% | -1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +5.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.2% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9% | +2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 7% | -1 points |
ARCO has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
ARCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $56.4M | +257% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.7M | +$43.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $27.2M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $30.4M | +421% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.8M | +$30.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$62.2M | +$8.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $18.6M | +65% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.8M | -87% |
ARCO has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
ARCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | 0% | +37.2K shares |
| 5 years | +0.1% | +303K shares |
| Available history | +0.4% | +919K shares |
ARCO has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
ARCO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
ARCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 3.4x | Elevated |
ARCO's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over ARCO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ARCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
ARCO's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
ARCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ARCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.8x | 18x | 68% below |
| PE % | 1 | 47 | 46 pts below |
ARCO is trading at 5.8x earnings, a 68% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ARCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.36 | 4.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.80 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.05 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $7.74 | 9.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.75 | 20% below |
ARCO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
ARCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8.18 | $4.93 | -40% |
| 2021 | $4.93 | $5.33 | +8.1% |
| 2022 | $5.33 | $8.32 | +56% |
| 2023 | $8.32 | $12.7 | +53% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $7.29 | -43% |
| 2025 | $7.29 | $7.37 | +1.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.37 | $7.00 | -5% |
ARCO has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.