ARCC

Ares Capital Corporation

41
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ARCC's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 16x earnings, above its usual 9.9x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

ARCC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ARCC's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ARCC.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

ARCC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x97x129x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x97x129x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.2x$7.54-61%
Fair9.8x$11.94-38%
Forward9.9x$19.11โ€”
Expensive15x$17.95-6.1%
Current16x$19.11โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARCC's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.9x, in its fair range.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARCC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect ARCC's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ARCC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$21.61
Downside-11%$16.94

Calculated from the latest close: $19.11 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARCC and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARCC and IREN's risk to reward.

ARCC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.68Q1 2024: $2.93Q2 2024: $2.86Q3 2024: $2.61Q4 2024: $2.44Q1 2025: $2.04Q2 2025: $2.04Q3 2025: $1.99Q4 2025: $1.86Q1 2026: $1.63Q2 2026: $1.35Q3 2026: $1.22Forward: $1.92
Q4 2023: $2.68Q1 2024: $2.93Q2 2024: $2.86Q3 2024: $2.61Q4 2024: $2.44Q1 2025: $2.04Q2 2025: $2.04Q3 2025: $1.99Q4 2025: $1.86Q1 2026: $1.63Q2 2026: $1.35Q3 2026: $1.22Forward: $1.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.92+58%
Q3 2026$1.22-39%
Q2 2026$1.35-34%
Q1 2026$1.63-20%
Q4 2025$1.86-24%
Q3 2025$1.99-24%
Q2 2025$2.04-29%
Q1 2025$2.04-30%
Q4 2024$2.44-9%

ARCC has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ARCC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$230M-61%
Q1 2022$375M-27%
Q4 2021$505M+6.1%
Q3 2021$444M-17%
Q2 2021$585M+59%
Q4 2020$476M+61%

IREN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 61% for ARCC versus down 5.1% for IREN.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ARCC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$359MQ1 2024: โˆ’$21MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1.3BQ3 2024: โˆ’$521MQ4 2024: โˆ’$268MQ1 2025: โˆ’$299MQ2 2025: โˆ’$218MQ3 2025: โˆ’$773MQ4 2025: โˆ’$427MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $336MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$359MQ1 2024: โˆ’$21MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1.3BQ3 2024: โˆ’$521MQ4 2024: โˆ’$268MQ1 2025: โˆ’$299MQ2 2025: โˆ’$218MQ3 2025: โˆ’$773MQ4 2025: โˆ’$427MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $336MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+$1.8B
Q2 2026$336M+$554M
Q1 2026$184M+$483M
Q4 2025-$427M-$159M
Q3 2025-$773M-$252M
Q2 2025-$218M+$1.1B
Q1 2025-$299M-$278M
Q4 2024-$268M+$91M

ARCC has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

ARCC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 575MQ1 2024: 591MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 635MQ4 2024: 624MQ1 2025: 676MQ2 2025: 695MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 699MQ1 2026: 718MQ2 2026: 718MQ3 2026: 720M
Q4 2023: 575MQ1 2024: 591MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 635MQ4 2024: 624MQ1 2025: 676MQ2 2025: 695MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 699MQ1 2026: 718MQ2 2026: 718MQ3 2026: 720M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2M shares
1 year+1.6%+11M shares
3 years+24%+138M shares
5 years+59%+267M shares
Available history+68%+291M shares

ARCC has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ARCC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202210.9xHigh
Q1 20226.9xHigh
Q4 20216.8xHigh
Q3 20215.6xHigh
Q2 20215.3xHigh
Q1 20215.2xHigh
Q4 202016.6xHigh
Q3 202023.1xHigh

ARCC's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ARCC.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

ARCC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic42.5Neutral

ARCC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ARCC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricARCCSector medianRelative
PE16x13x20% above
PE %876324 pts above

ARCC is trading at 16x earnings, a 20% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARCC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.91% above
20 week MA$19.20.6% below
50 week MA$19.20.5% below
100 week MA$20.56.6% below
200 week MA$20.25.4% below

ARCC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 5.4% below its 200-week average.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

ARCC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.6$16.4-12%
2021$16.4$20.7+26%
2022$20.7$18.7-9.6%
2023$18.7$20.0+7.2%
2024$20.0$22.0+9.9%
2025$22.0$20.2-8.3%
2026 YTD$20.2$19.1-5.4%

ARCC has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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