ARCB

ArcBest Corporation

49
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

ARCB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over ARCB overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

ARCB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Strong

ARCB's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ARCB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x107x161x214x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x107x161x214x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$10.60-92%
Forward14x$135—
Fair15x$18.93-86%
Expensive28x$35.29-74%
Current105x$135—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARCB's PE is in its expensive range at 105x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARCB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ARCB, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

ARCB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$222.85
Downside-15%$113.73

Calculated from the latest close: $134.58 on Nov 12.

ARCB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails ARCB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ARCB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.93Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.31Q3 2024: $8.12Q4 2024: $7.30Q1 2025: $7.53Q2 2025: $6.69Q3 2025: $4.18Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $2.44Q2 2026: $0.70Q3 2026: $1.28Forward: $9.38
Q4 2023: $7.93Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.31Q3 2024: $8.12Q4 2024: $7.30Q1 2025: $7.53Q2 2025: $6.69Q3 2025: $4.18Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $2.44Q2 2026: $0.70Q3 2026: $1.28Forward: $9.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.38+633%
Q3 2026$1.28-69%
Q2 2026$0.70-90%
Q1 2026$2.44-68%
Q4 2025$2.62-64%
Q3 2025$4.18-49%
Q2 2025$6.69+26%
Q1 2025$7.53+51%
Q4 2024$7.30-7.9%

ARCB has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

ARCB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $967MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $973MQ1 2026: $999MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $967MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $973MQ1 2026: $999MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+15%
Q2 2026$1.2B+16%
Q1 2026$998.8M+3.3%
Q4 2025$972.7M-2.9%
Q3 2025$1B-1.4%
Q2 2025$1B-5.2%
Q1 2025$967.1M-6.7%
Q4 2024$1B-8.1%

ARCB's revenue is growing: $1.2B last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over ARCB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARCB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$49MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: −$37MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $103M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$49MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: −$37MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $103M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$103.3M+211%
Q2 2026$117.1M+45%
Q1 2026-$1.2M+$35.6M
Q4 2025$36.9M+944%
Q3 2025$33.2M+39%
Q2 2025$80.9M-3.5%
Q1 2025-$36.8M+$11.7M
Q4 2024$3.5M-91%

ARCB has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

ARCB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+79.5K shares
1 year-1.7%-383K shares
3 years-8.6%-2.1M shares
5 years-16%-4.3M shares
Available history-12%-3.1M shares

ARCB has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

ARCB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

ARCB's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ARCB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.2Neutral
Stochastic24.0Neutral

ARCB's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ARCB PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricARCBSector medianRelative
PE105x24x337% above
PE %965838 pts above

ARCB is trading at 105x earnings, a 337% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARCB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$129.04.3% above
20 week MA$137.01.8% below
50 week MA$119.213% above
100 week MA$97.139% above
200 week MA$102.931% above

ARCB has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

ARCB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.4$43.3+58%
2021$43.3$111.6+158%
2022$111.6$71.5-36%
2023$71.5$120.2+68%
2024$120.2$93.6-22%
2025$93.6$77.3-17%
2026 YTD$77.3$134.6+74%

ARCB has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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