ARAY

Accuray Incorporated

40
Fundamentals25/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

ARAY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over ARAY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ARAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Weak

ARAY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ARAY PE Valuation

ARAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ARAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ARAY's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over ARAY on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ARAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$5.91
Downside-48%$1.61

Calculated from the latest close: $3.08 on Nov 12.

ARAY trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ARAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.00Q1 2024: $-8.80Q2 2024: $-6.40Q3 2024: $-6.80Q4 2024: $-2.00Q1 2025: $0.00Q2 2025: $-0.80Q3 2025: $-6.40Q4 2025: $-11.60Q1 2026: $-14.80Q2 2026: $-16.00Q3 2026: $-6.00
Q4 2023: $-6.00Q1 2024: $-8.80Q2 2024: $-6.40Q3 2024: $-6.80Q4 2024: $-2.00Q1 2025: $0.00Q2 2025: $-0.80Q3 2025: $-6.40Q4 2025: $-11.60Q1 2026: $-14.80Q2 2026: $-16.00Q3 2026: $-6.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$6.00+$0.40
Q2 2026-$16.00-$15.20
Q1 2026-$14.80-$14.80
Q4 2025-$11.60-$9.60
Q3 2025-$6.40+$0.40
Q2 2025-$0.80+$5.60
Q1 2025$0.00+$8.80
Q4 2024-$2.00+$4.00

ARAY lost $6.00 per share over the past year, about the same as its loss the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over ARAY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ARAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $107MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: $134MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $102MQ1 2026: $105MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $87M
Q4 2023: $107MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: $134MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $102MQ1 2026: $105MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $87M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$86.5M-7.9%
Q2 2026$100.9M-21%
Q1 2026$104.8M-7.4%
Q4 2025$102.2M-12%
Q3 2025$93.9M-7.5%
Q2 2025$127.5M-5%
Q1 2025$113.2M+12%
Q4 2024$116.2M+8.3%

ARAY's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $87M last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over ARAY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $927,000Q1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: −$19MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$4M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $927,000Q1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: −$19MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.9M-138%
Q2 2026$2M+$13M
Q1 2026-$6.1M-136%
Q4 2025-$19M-2151%
Q3 2025$10.3M+$18.7M
Q2 2025-$11M-217%
Q1 2025$17.1M+$26M
Q4 2024$927K+$7.3M

ARAY's free cash flow was −$27M over the past year, against $17M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over ARAY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ARAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+14%+416K shares
1 year+35%+911K shares
3 years+43%+1M shares
5 years+50%+1.2M shares
Available history+54%+1.2M shares

ARAY has 3M diluted shares, up 35% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over ARAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 21.3xQ2 2024: 17.4xQ3 2024: 52.6xQ4 2024: 11.1xQ1 2025: 6.3xQ2 2025: 6.6xQ3 2025: 17.8x
Q4 2023: 21.3xQ2 2024: 17.4xQ3 2024: 52.6xQ4 2024: 11.1xQ1 2025: 6.3xQ2 2025: 6.6xQ3 2025: 17.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202517.8xHigh
Q2 20256.6xHigh
Q1 20256.3xHigh
Q4 202411.1xHigh
Q3 202452.6xHigh
Q2 202417.4xHigh
Q4 202321.3xHigh
Q3 20239.3xHigh

ARAY's net debt is about 18 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ARAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.4Oversold
Stochastic3.2Oversold

ARAY's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ARAY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricARAYSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

ARAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ARAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.6954% below
20 week MA$8.9466% below
50 week MA$16.982% below
100 week MA$40.992% below
200 week MA$72.496% below

ARAY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 96% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over ARAY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ARAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$112.8$177.2+57%
2021$177.2$195.6+10%
2022$195.6$79.2-60%
2023$79.2$113.2+43%
2024$113.2$73.2-35%
2025$73.2$33.0-55%
2026 YTD$33.0$3.08-91%

ARAY has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 91% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over ARAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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