ARAI

Arrive AI Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score ARAI yet.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 27x earnings, below its usual 34x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

ARAI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

ARAI's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ARAI PE Valuation

ARAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

ARAI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect ARAI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

ARAI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $2.06 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARAI and MSFT's risk to reward.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARAI and MSFT's risk to reward.

ARAI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.54Q4 2023: $-11.52Q1 2024: $-11.34Q2 2024: $-12.41Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-7.35Q1 2025: $-9.24Q2 2025: $-12.58Q3 2025: $-17.50Q4 2025: $-20.64Q1 2026: $-25.92Q2 2026: $-33.60
Q3 2023: $-4.54Q4 2023: $-11.52Q1 2024: $-11.34Q2 2024: $-12.41Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-7.35Q1 2025: $-9.24Q2 2025: $-12.58Q3 2025: $-17.50Q4 2025: $-20.64Q1 2026: $-25.92Q2 2026: $-33.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$33.60-$21.02
Q1 2026-$25.92-$16.68
Q4 2025-$20.64-$13.29
Q3 2025-$17.50-$4.61
Q2 2025-$12.58-$0.17
Q1 2025-$9.24+$2.10
Q4 2024-$7.35+$4.17
Q3 2024-$12.89-$8.35

ARAI lost $33.60 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last six quarters.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over ARAI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ARAI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: $90,725Q3 2025: $7,450Q4 2025: $15,075Q1 2026: $14,925Q2 2026: $14,700
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: $90,725Q3 2025: $7,450Q4 2025: $15,075Q1 2026: $14,925Q2 2026: $14,700
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$14.7K-84%

ARAI's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $14,700 last quarter, down 84% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over ARAI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARAI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: −$726,168Q1 2024: −$602,477Q2 2024: −$751,508Q3 2024: −$605,462Q4 2024: −$367,981Q1 2025: −$546,671Q2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$4M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: −$726,168Q1 2024: −$602,477Q2 2024: −$751,508Q3 2024: −$605,462Q4 2024: −$367,981Q1 2025: −$546,671Q2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.5M-$294.1K
Q1 2026-$3.2M-$2.6M
Q3 2025-$1.2M-$643.5K
Q2 2025-$3.3M-$2.5M
Q1 2025-$546.7K+$55.8K
Q4 2024-$368K+$358.2K

MSFT has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 7.4% versus its history, compared with ARAI at down 162%.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

ARAI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 624,546Q4 2023: 624,546Q1 2024: 624,546Q2 2024: 603,127Q3 2024: 624,546Q4 2024: 624,546Q1 2025: 619,193Q2 2025: 657,165Q3 2025: 692,615Q1 2026: 753,483Q2 2026: 1M
Q3 2023: 624,546Q4 2023: 624,546Q1 2024: 624,546Q2 2024: 603,127Q3 2024: 624,546Q4 2024: 624,546Q1 2025: 619,193Q2 2025: 657,165Q3 2025: 692,615Q1 2026: 753,483Q2 2026: 1M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+38%+289K shares
1 year+68%+424K shares
3 years+68%+424K shares

ARAI has 1M diluted shares, up 68% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over ARAI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARAI Net Leverage

ARAI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ARAI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI18.2Oversold
Stochastic3.5Oversold

ARAI's weekly RSI is 18 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

ARAI PE vs Technology Sector

ARAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ARAI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.3468% below
20 week MA$10.781% below
50 week MA$45.996% below

MSFT has stronger trend alignment. ARAI is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus MSFT above 4 of 5.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

ARAI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$490.1$154.6-68%
2026 YTD$154.6$2.06-99%

ARAI has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 99% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over ARAI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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