ARAI

Arrive AI Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score ARAI yet.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow, though they disagree widely on how much.

ARAI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

ARAI's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ARAI PE Valuation

ARAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARAI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect ARAI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ARAI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $2.06 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARAI and ASTS's risk to reward.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ARAI and ASTS's risk to reward.

ARAI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.54Q4 2023: $-11.52Q1 2024: $-11.34Q2 2024: $-12.41Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-7.35Q1 2025: $-9.24Q2 2025: $-12.58Q3 2025: $-17.50Q4 2025: $-20.64Q1 2026: $-25.92Q2 2026: $-33.60
Q3 2023: $-4.54Q4 2023: $-11.52Q1 2024: $-11.34Q2 2024: $-12.41Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-7.35Q1 2025: $-9.24Q2 2025: $-12.58Q3 2025: $-17.50Q4 2025: $-20.64Q1 2026: $-25.92Q2 2026: $-33.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$33.60-$21.02
Q1 2026-$25.92-$16.68
Q4 2025-$20.64-$13.29
Q3 2025-$17.50-$4.61
Q2 2025-$12.58-$0.17
Q1 2025-$9.24+$2.10
Q4 2024-$7.35+$4.17
Q3 2024-$12.89-$8.35

ARAI lost $33.60 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last six quarters.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over ARAI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARAI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: $90,725Q3 2025: $7,450Q4 2025: $15,075Q1 2026: $14,925Q2 2026: $14,700
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: $90,725Q3 2025: $7,450Q4 2025: $15,075Q1 2026: $14,925Q2 2026: $14,700
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$14.7K-84%

ARAI's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $14,700 last quarter, down 84% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over ARAI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARAI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: −$726,168Q1 2024: −$602,477Q2 2024: −$751,508Q3 2024: −$605,462Q4 2024: −$367,981Q1 2025: −$546,671Q2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$4M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: −$726,168Q1 2024: −$602,477Q2 2024: −$751,508Q3 2024: −$605,462Q4 2024: −$367,981Q1 2025: −$546,671Q2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.5M-$294.1K
Q1 2026-$3.2M-$2.6M
Q3 2025-$1.2M-$643.5K
Q2 2025-$3.3M-$2.5M
Q1 2025-$546.7K+$55.8K
Q4 2024-$368K+$358.2K

ARAI has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 162% versus its history, compared with ASTS at down 363%.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ARAI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 624,546Q4 2023: 624,546Q1 2024: 624,546Q2 2024: 603,127Q3 2024: 624,546Q4 2024: 624,546Q1 2025: 619,193Q2 2025: 657,165Q3 2025: 692,615Q1 2026: 753,483Q2 2026: 1M
Q3 2023: 624,546Q4 2023: 624,546Q1 2024: 624,546Q2 2024: 603,127Q3 2024: 624,546Q4 2024: 624,546Q1 2025: 619,193Q2 2025: 657,165Q3 2025: 692,615Q1 2026: 753,483Q2 2026: 1M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+38%+289K shares
1 year+68%+424K shares
3 years+68%+424K shares

ARAI has 1M diluted shares, up 68% from a year ago.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over ARAI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARAI Net Leverage

ARAI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ARAI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI18.2Oversold
Stochastic3.5Oversold

ARAI's weekly RSI is 18 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ARAI PE vs Technology Sector

ARAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARAI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.3468% below
20 week MA$10.781% below
50 week MA$45.996% below

ASTS has stronger trend alignment. ARAI is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus ASTS above 1 of 5.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ARAI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$490.1$154.6-68%
2026 YTD$154.6$2.06-99%

ARAI has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 99% so far in 2026.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over ARAI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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