APTV

Aptiv PLC

56
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

APTV has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

APTV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

APTV's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

APTV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE69x138x207x276x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE69x138x207x276x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.6x$38.81—
Cheap8.2x$29.76-23%
Current11x$38.81—
Fair26x$92.99+140%
Expensive76x$277+613%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APTV has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

APTV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Strong decline
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect APTV's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

APTV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$49.11
Downside-22%$30.27

Calculated from the latest close: $38.81 on Nov 12.

APTV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails APTV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APTV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.36Q1 2024: $10.61Q2 2024: $13.24Q3 2024: $8.96Q4 2024: $6.88Q1 2025: $6.04Q2 2025: $4.37Q3 2025: $1.26Q4 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $1.69Q2 2026: $1.06Q3 2026: $3.63Forward: $5.85
Q4 2023: $10.36Q1 2024: $10.61Q2 2024: $13.24Q3 2024: $8.96Q4 2024: $6.88Q1 2025: $6.04Q2 2025: $4.37Q3 2025: $1.26Q4 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $1.69Q2 2026: $1.06Q3 2026: $3.63Forward: $5.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.85+61%
Q3 2026$3.63+188%
Q2 2026$1.06-76%
Q1 2026$1.69-72%
Q4 2025$0.76-89%
Q3 2025$1.26-86%
Q2 2025$4.37-67%
Q1 2025$6.04-43%
Q4 2024$6.88-34%

APTV's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.63 over the past year, against $13.24 in mid-2024.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

APTV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.2BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.2BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B-39%
Q2 2026$3.3B-37%
Q1 2026$5.1B+5.4%
Q4 2025$5.2B+5%
Q3 2025$5.2B+7.4%
Q2 2025$5.2B+3.1%
Q1 2025$4.8B-1.6%
Q4 2024$4.9B-0.2%

APTV has the edge over TSLA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

APTV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $421MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: $417MQ3 2024: $326MQ4 2024: $894MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $361MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $651MQ1 2026: −$362MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $421MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: $417MQ3 2024: $326MQ4 2024: $894MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $361MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $651MQ1 2026: −$362MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$194M-56%
Q2 2026$33M-91%
Q1 2026-$362M-576%
Q4 2025$651M-27%
Q3 2025$441M+35%
Q2 2025$361M-13%
Q1 2025$76M+$97M
Q4 2024$894M+112%

APTV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $516M over the past year.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

APTV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 281MQ1 2024: 275MQ2 2024: 270MQ3 2024: 246MQ4 2024: 235MQ1 2025: 230MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 216MQ1 2026: 214MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 206M
Q4 2023: 281MQ1 2024: 275MQ2 2024: 270MQ3 2024: 246MQ4 2024: 235MQ1 2025: 230MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 216MQ1 2026: 214MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 206M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-5.8M shares
1 year-5.1%-11.1M shares
3 years-27%-76.7M shares
5 years-24%-64.9M shares
Available history-20%-50.1M shares

APTV has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

APTV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate

APTV's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.7 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over APTV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

APTV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.1Oversold
Stochastic5.1Oversold

APTV's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

APTV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAPTVSector medianRelative
PE11x18x41% below
PE %244723 pts below

APTV has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

APTV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.79.2% below
20 week MA$48.119% below
50 week MA$60.536% below
100 week MA$64.840% below
200 week MA$75.449% below

APTV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over APTV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

APTV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$96.3$128.4+33%
2021$128.4$162.4+26%
2022$162.4$91.3-44%
2023$91.3$89.7-1.7%
2024$89.7$60.3-33%
2025$60.3$76.9+27%
2026 YTD$76.9$38.8-50%

APTV has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over APTV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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