APTV
Aptiv PLC
APTV has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
APTV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
APTV's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
APTV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.6x | $38.81 | — |
| Cheap | 8.2x | $29.76 | -23% |
| Current | 11x | $38.81 | — |
| Fair | 26x | $92.99 | +140% |
| Expensive | 76x | $277 | +613% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
APTV's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.6x.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
APTV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect APTV's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over APTV on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
APTV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.85 | +61% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.63 | +188% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.06 | -76% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.69 | -72% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.76 | -89% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.26 | -86% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.37 | -67% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.04 | -43% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.88 | -34% |
APTV has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
APTV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | -37% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1B | +5.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +5% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.2B | +7.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | +3.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B | -1.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.9B | -0.2% |
APTV's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $3.2B last quarter, down 39% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.8% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.4% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.3% | -1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.4% | -14 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.3% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.3% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.8% | +2.5 points |
APTV has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over APTV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
APTV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $194M | -56% |
| Q2 2026 | $33M | -91% |
| Q1 2026 | -$362M | -576% |
| Q4 2025 | $651M | -27% |
| Q3 2025 | $441M | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $361M | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $76M | +$97M |
| Q4 2024 | $894M | +112% |
APTV has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
APTV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.7% | -5.8M shares |
| 1 year | -5.1% | -11.1M shares |
| 3 years | -27% | -76.7M shares |
| 5 years | -24% | -64.9M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -50.1M shares |
APTV has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $236M |
| Q2 2026 | $246M |
| Q1 2026 | $76M |
| Q4 2025 | $301M |
| Q3 2025 | $96M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
APTV spent $859M buying back its own shares over the past year, about nine times what it spent the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
APTV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.6x | Moderate |
APTV's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.7 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
APTV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.1 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 5.1 | Oversold |
APTV's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
APTV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | APTV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 41% below |
| PE % | 24 | 47 | 23 pts below |
APTV is trading at 11x earnings, a 41% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
APTV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $42.7 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $48.1 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $60.5 | 36% below |
| 100 week MA | $64.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $75.4 | 49% below |
APTV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
APTV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $96.3 | $128.4 | +33% |
| 2021 | $128.4 | $162.4 | +26% |
| 2022 | $162.4 | $91.3 | -44% |
| 2023 | $91.3 | $89.7 | -1.7% |
| 2024 | $89.7 | $60.3 | -33% |
| 2025 | $60.3 | $76.9 | +27% |
| 2026 YTD | $76.9 | $38.8 | -50% |
APTV has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has the edge over APTV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.