APTV

Aptiv PLC

56
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

APTV has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

APTV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

APTV's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

APTV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE69x138x207x276x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE69x138x207x276x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.6x$38.81—
Cheap8.2x$29.76-23%
Current11x$38.81—
Fair26x$92.99+140%
Expensive76x$277+613%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APTV's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.6x.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APTV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Strong decline
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect APTV's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

F has the edge over APTV on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

APTV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$49.11
Downside-22%$30.27

Calculated from the latest close: $38.81 on Nov 12.

APTV trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than APTV, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APTV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.36Q1 2024: $10.61Q2 2024: $13.24Q3 2024: $8.96Q4 2024: $6.88Q1 2025: $6.04Q2 2025: $4.37Q3 2025: $1.26Q4 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $1.69Q2 2026: $1.06Q3 2026: $3.63Forward: $5.85
Q4 2023: $10.36Q1 2024: $10.61Q2 2024: $13.24Q3 2024: $8.96Q4 2024: $6.88Q1 2025: $6.04Q2 2025: $4.37Q3 2025: $1.26Q4 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $1.69Q2 2026: $1.06Q3 2026: $3.63Forward: $5.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.85+61%
Q3 2026$3.63+188%
Q2 2026$1.06-76%
Q1 2026$1.69-72%
Q4 2025$0.76-89%
Q3 2025$1.26-86%
Q2 2025$4.37-67%
Q1 2025$6.04-43%
Q4 2024$6.88-34%

APTV has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

APTV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.2BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.2BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B-39%
Q2 2026$3.3B-37%
Q1 2026$5.1B+5.4%
Q4 2025$5.2B+5%
Q3 2025$5.2B+7.4%
Q2 2025$5.2B+3.1%
Q1 2025$4.8B-1.6%
Q4 2024$4.9B-0.2%

APTV's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $3.2B last quarter, down 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

APTV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $421MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: $417MQ3 2024: $326MQ4 2024: $894MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $361MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $651MQ1 2026: −$362MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $421MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: $417MQ3 2024: $326MQ4 2024: $894MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $361MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $651MQ1 2026: −$362MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$194M-56%
Q2 2026$33M-91%
Q1 2026-$362M-576%
Q4 2025$651M-27%
Q3 2025$441M+35%
Q2 2025$361M-13%
Q1 2025$76M+$97M
Q4 2024$894M+112%

APTV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $516M over the past year.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over APTV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

APTV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 281MQ1 2024: 275MQ2 2024: 270MQ3 2024: 246MQ4 2024: 235MQ1 2025: 230MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 216MQ1 2026: 214MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 206M
Q4 2023: 281MQ1 2024: 275MQ2 2024: 270MQ3 2024: 246MQ4 2024: 235MQ1 2025: 230MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 216MQ1 2026: 214MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 206M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-5.8M shares
1 year-5.1%-11.1M shares
3 years-27%-76.7M shares
5 years-24%-64.9M shares
Available history-20%-50.1M shares

APTV has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

APTV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate

APTV's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.7 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over APTV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

APTV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.1Oversold
Stochastic5.1Oversold

APTV's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

APTV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAPTVSector medianRelative
PE11x18x41% below
PE %244723 pts below

APTV is trading at 11x earnings, a 41% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APTV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.79.2% below
20 week MA$48.119% below
50 week MA$60.536% below
100 week MA$64.840% below
200 week MA$75.449% below

APTV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

APTV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$96.3$128.4+33%
2021$128.4$162.4+26%
2022$162.4$91.3-44%
2023$91.3$89.7-1.7%
2024$89.7$60.3-33%
2025$60.3$76.9+27%
2026 YTD$76.9$38.8-50%

APTV has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over APTV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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