APTV
Aptiv PLC
APTV has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
APTV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
APTV's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
APTV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.6x | $38.81 | — |
| Cheap | 8.2x | $29.76 | -23% |
| Current | 11x | $38.81 | — |
| Fair | 26x | $92.99 | +140% |
| Expensive | 76x | $277 | +613% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
APTV has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
APTV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect APTV's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over APTV on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
APTV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.85 | +61% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.63 | +188% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.06 | -76% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.69 | -72% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.76 | -89% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.26 | -86% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.37 | -67% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.04 | -43% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.88 | -34% |
APTV's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.63 over the past year, against $13.24 in mid-2024.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over APTV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
APTV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | -37% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1B | +5.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +5% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.2B | +7.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | +3.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B | -1.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.9B | -0.2% |
APTV's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $3.2B last quarter, down 39% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.8% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.4% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.3% | -1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.4% | -14 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.3% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.3% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.8% | +2.5 points |
APTV has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over APTV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
APTV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $194M | -56% |
| Q2 2026 | $33M | -91% |
| Q1 2026 | -$362M | -576% |
| Q4 2025 | $651M | -27% |
| Q3 2025 | $441M | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $361M | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $76M | +$97M |
| Q4 2024 | $894M | +112% |
APTV has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
APTV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.7% | -5.8M shares |
| 1 year | -5.1% | -11.1M shares |
| 3 years | -27% | -76.7M shares |
| 5 years | -24% | -64.9M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -50.1M shares |
APTV has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $236M |
| Q2 2026 | $246M |
| Q1 2026 | $76M |
| Q4 2025 | $301M |
| Q3 2025 | $96M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
APTV spent $859M buying back its own shares over the past year, about nine times what it spent the year before.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
APTV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.6x | Moderate |
APTV's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.7 years a year ago.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over APTV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
APTV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.1 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 5.1 | Oversold |
APTV's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
APTV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | APTV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 41% below |
| PE % | 24 | 47 | 23 pts below |
APTV has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
APTV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $42.7 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $48.1 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $60.5 | 36% below |
| 100 week MA | $64.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $75.4 | 49% below |
APTV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
APTV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $96.3 | $128.4 | +33% |
| 2021 | $128.4 | $162.4 | +26% |
| 2022 | $162.4 | $91.3 | -44% |
| 2023 | $91.3 | $89.7 | -1.7% |
| 2024 | $89.7 | $60.3 | -33% |
| 2025 | $60.3 | $76.9 | +27% |
| 2026 YTD | $76.9 | $38.8 | -50% |
APTV has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over APTV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.