APPS

Digital Turbine, Inc.

61
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

APPS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

APPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Unavailable
Stable

APPS's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

APPS PE Valuation

APPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for APPS, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

APPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$16.17
Downside-55%$3.32

Calculated from the latest close: $7.30 on Nov 12.

APPS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails APPS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APPS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.97Q1 2024: $-4.16Q2 2024: $-4.33Q3 2024: $-2.96Q4 2024: $-3.04Q1 2025: $-0.89Q2 2025: $-0.77Q3 2025: $-0.73Q4 2025: $-0.48Q1 2026: $-0.33Q2 2026: $-0.29Q3 2026: $-0.03Forward: $0.71
Q4 2023: $-1.97Q1 2024: $-4.16Q2 2024: $-4.33Q3 2024: $-2.96Q4 2024: $-3.04Q1 2025: $-0.89Q2 2025: $-0.77Q3 2025: $-0.73Q4 2025: $-0.48Q1 2026: $-0.33Q2 2026: $-0.29Q3 2026: $-0.03Forward: $0.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.71—
Q3 2026-$0.03+$0.70
Q2 2026-$0.29+$0.48
Q1 2026-$0.33+$0.56
Q4 2025-$0.48+$2.56
Q3 2025-$0.73+$2.23
Q2 2025-$0.77+$3.56
Q1 2025-$0.89+$3.27
Q4 2024-$3.04-$1.07

APPS has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

APPS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $143MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $118MQ3 2024: $119MQ4 2024: $135MQ1 2025: $119MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $140MQ4 2025: $151MQ1 2026: $143MQ2 2026: $166MQ3 2026: $179M
Q4 2023: $143MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $118MQ3 2024: $119MQ4 2024: $135MQ1 2025: $119MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $140MQ4 2025: $151MQ1 2026: $143MQ2 2026: $166MQ3 2026: $179M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$178.7M+27%
Q2 2026$166M+27%
Q1 2026$142.5M+20%
Q4 2025$151.4M+12%
Q3 2025$140.4M+18%
Q2 2025$130.9M+11%
Q1 2025$119.2M+6.2%
Q4 2024$134.6M-5.6%

APPS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $179M last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over APPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

APPS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10M-31%
Q2 2026$11.2M+27%
Q4 2025$14.2M+36%
Q3 2025$14.5M+$23.2M
Q2 2025$8.8M+$10.1M
Q1 2025$11.5M+$23.3M
Q4 2024$10.4M-10%
Q3 2024-$8.7M-132%

APPS has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 15% versus its history, compared with ASTS at down 363%.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

APPS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 109MQ4 2025: 120MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 121MQ3 2026: 129M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 109MQ4 2025: 120MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 121MQ3 2026: 129M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.1%+8.6M shares
1 year+18%+20.1M shares
3 years+28%+28.6M shares
5 years+34%+33.1M shares
Available history+40%+36.8M shares

APPS has 129M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over APPS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

APPS Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 12.8xQ2 2025: 8.6xQ3 2025: 6.1xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q1 2025: 12.8xQ2 2025: 8.6xQ3 2025: 6.1xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20256.1xHigh
Q2 20258.6xHigh
Q1 202512.8xHigh
Q2 20233.5xElevated

APPS's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.1 years a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

APPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.7Neutral
Stochastic16.4Oversold

APPS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

APPS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPSSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

APPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.8426% below
20 week MA$10.430% below
50 week MA$7.221.1% above
100 week MA$5.7727% above
200 week MA$5.9223% above

APPS has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

APPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.40$58.6+692%
2021$58.6$62.2+6.1%
2022$62.2$14.1-77%
2023$14.1$6.86-51%
2024$6.86$1.86-73%
2025$1.86$5.22+181%
2026 YTD$5.22$7.30+40%

APPS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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