APPN

Appian Corporation

61
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

APPN has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

APPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Stable
Weak

APPN's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

APPN PE Valuation

APPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for APPN, with profitability improving.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

APPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$86.17
Downside-35%$35.83

Calculated from the latest close: $55.15 on Nov 12.

APPN trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than APPN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.52Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-1.48Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-1.26Q1 2025: $-0.83Q2 2025: $-0.23Q3 2025: $-0.10Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $0.02Q2 2026: $-0.14Q3 2026: $-0.07Forward: $1.39
Q4 2023: $-1.52Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-1.48Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-1.26Q1 2025: $-0.83Q2 2025: $-0.23Q3 2025: $-0.10Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $0.02Q2 2026: $-0.14Q3 2026: $-0.07Forward: $1.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.39—
Q3 2026-$0.07+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.14+$0.09
Q1 2026$0.02+$0.85
Q4 2025$0.02+$1.28
Q3 2025-$0.10+$1.11
Q2 2025-$0.23+$1.25
Q1 2025-$0.83+$0.63
Q4 2024-$1.26+$0.26

APPN has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

APPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $146MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $167MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $187MQ4 2025: $203MQ1 2026: $202MQ2 2026: $203MQ3 2026: $235M
Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $146MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $167MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $187MQ4 2025: $203MQ1 2026: $202MQ2 2026: $203MQ3 2026: $235M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$234.6M+25%
Q2 2026$203.3M+19%
Q1 2026$202.2M+21%
Q4 2025$202.9M+22%
Q3 2025$187M+21%
Q2 2025$170.6M+17%
Q1 2025$166.4M+11%
Q4 2024$166.7M+15%

APPN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $235M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

APPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $270,000Q1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: −$20M
Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $270,000Q1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: −$20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$20M-211%
Q2 2026$9.8M+$12.9M
Q1 2026$48.6M+9.8%
Q4 2025$270K-98%
Q3 2025$18.1M+$26.7M
Q2 2025-$3.1M+$15.3M
Q1 2025$44.3M+166%
Q4 2024$13.4M+$23M

APPN has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

APPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 74MQ3 2025: 75MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 74MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 74MQ3 2025: 75MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 74MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-155K shares
1 year-2.5%-1.8M shares
3 years-0.6%-437K shares
5 years+2.3%+1.6M shares
Available history+11%+7.3M shares

APPN has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

APPN Net Leverage

Q3 2025: 7.4xQ4 2025: 10.2xQ1 2026: 6.3xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q3 2025: 7.4xQ4 2025: 10.2xQ1 2026: 6.3xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20265.9xHigh
Q1 20266.3xHigh
Q4 202510.2xHigh
Q3 20257.4xHigh

APPN's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.4 years a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

APPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.0Overbought
Stochastic87.4Overbought

APPN's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

APPN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPNSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

APPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.322% above
20 week MA$37.547% above
50 week MA$30.978% above
100 week MA$31.376% above
200 week MA$34.858% above

APPN has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

APPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.7$158.0+319%
2021$158.0$72.0-54%
2022$72.0$33.8-53%
2023$33.8$37.7+11%
2024$37.7$33.4-11%
2025$33.4$35.8+7.1%
2026 YTD$35.8$55.2+54%

APPN has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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